[samuelknight]

Open models have been about 6 to 9 months behind frontier models, and this has been the case since 2024. That is a very long time for this technology at it's current rate of development. If fast takeoff theory is right, this should widen (although with Kimi K2.5 it might have actually shortened).

If we consider what typically happens with other technologies, we would expect open models to match others on general intelligence benchmarks in time. Sort of like how every brand of battery-powered drill you find at the store is very similar, despite being head and shoulders better than the best drill from 25 years ago.

[hobofan]

> That is a very long time for this technology at it's current rate of development.

Yes, as long as that gap stays consistent, there is no problem with building on ~9 months old tech from a business perspective. Heck, many companies are lagging behind tech advancements by decades and are doing fine.

[SecretDreams]

> Sort of like how every brand of battery-powered drill you find at the store is very similar, despite being head and shoulders better than the best drill from 25 years ago.

They all get made in China, mostly all in the same facilities. Designs tend to converge under such conditions. Especially since design is not open loop - you talk to the supplier that will make your drill and the supplier might communicate how they already make drills for others.