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misiti3780 | 29 days ago

this is the argument i continue to have with people. first mover isnt always an advantage - i think openai will be sold or pennies on these dollars someday (next 5 years after they run out of funding).

Google has data, TPUs, and a shitload of cash to burn

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tester756|29 days ago

>first mover isnt always an advantage

but in this case it is, ChatGPT name is really, really strong, it's like "just google it" instead of "just search the web"

catdog|29 days ago

Maybe but it's far from profitable. People largely don't want to pay for it either.

randomNumber7|29 days ago

I'm not sure because google was by far the best search engine for a long time in the early 2000s and there are a lot of models close to what openai has right now.

rchaud|29 days ago

Name recognition only gets you so far. "Just Google it" happened because Google was better than Hotbot/Altavista/Yahoo! etc by orders of magnitude. Nobody even bothered to launch a competing search engine in the 2000s because of this (until Microsoft w/ Bing in 2009). There is no such parallel with ChatGPT; Google, Bing, even DuckDuckGo has AI search.

First mover advantage matters only if it has long-lasting network effects. American schools are run on Chromebooks and Google Docs/Slides, but these have no penetration in enterprise, as college students have been discovering when they enter their first jobs.