top | item 46903813 (no title) quinncom | 24 days ago Exponential growth may look like a very slow increase at first, but it's still exponential growth. discuss order hn newest janalsncm|24 days ago Sigmoids may look like exponential growth at first, until they saturate. Early growth alone cannot distinguish between them. naasking|24 days ago Intelligence must be sigmoid of course, but it may not saturate until well past human intelligence. load replies (1) Garlef|24 days ago On the other hand: Perception of change might not be linear but logarithmic.(= it might take an order of magnitude of improvements to be perceived as a substantial upgrade)So the perceived rate of change might be linear.It's definitely true for some things such as wealth:- $2000 is a lot of you have $1000.- It's a substantial improvement of you have $10000.- It's not a lot you have $1m- It does not matter if you have $1b varjag|23 days ago $2000 is not substantial over $1b on the linear scale load replies (1) gf000|24 days ago If it's exponential growth. It may just as well be some slow growth and continue to be so.
janalsncm|24 days ago Sigmoids may look like exponential growth at first, until they saturate. Early growth alone cannot distinguish between them. naasking|24 days ago Intelligence must be sigmoid of course, but it may not saturate until well past human intelligence. load replies (1)
naasking|24 days ago Intelligence must be sigmoid of course, but it may not saturate until well past human intelligence. load replies (1)
Garlef|24 days ago On the other hand: Perception of change might not be linear but logarithmic.(= it might take an order of magnitude of improvements to be perceived as a substantial upgrade)So the perceived rate of change might be linear.It's definitely true for some things such as wealth:- $2000 is a lot of you have $1000.- It's a substantial improvement of you have $10000.- It's not a lot you have $1m- It does not matter if you have $1b varjag|23 days ago $2000 is not substantial over $1b on the linear scale load replies (1)
gf000|24 days ago If it's exponential growth. It may just as well be some slow growth and continue to be so.
janalsncm|24 days ago
naasking|24 days ago
Garlef|24 days ago
(= it might take an order of magnitude of improvements to be perceived as a substantial upgrade)
So the perceived rate of change might be linear.
It's definitely true for some things such as wealth:
- $2000 is a lot of you have $1000.
- It's a substantial improvement of you have $10000.
- It's not a lot you have $1m
- It does not matter if you have $1b
varjag|23 days ago
gf000|24 days ago