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rahulyc | 25 days ago

Yes, but also you'll never have any early evidence of the Foom until the Foom itself happens.

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janalsncm|25 days ago

If only General Relativity had such an ironclad defense of being as unfalsifiable as Foom Hypothesis is. We could’ve avoided all of the quantum physics nonsense.

Davidzheng|25 days ago

it doesn't mean it's unfalsifiable - it's a prediction about the future so you can falsify it when there's a bound on when it is going to happen. it just means there's little to no warning. I think it's a significant risk to AI progress that it can reach some sort of improvement speed > speed of warning or any threats from AI improvement