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symfrog | 23 days ago

In what way is the long term impact of LLMs being underestimated? If anything, it seems that it has been overestimated in the past years and that something other than LLMs will be needed to reach the original scaled LLM hope of AGI.

discuss

order

pchristensen|23 days ago

Back when the Internet was America online and some CGI bin perl scripts, there were a lot of very lofty things said about the potential of the Internet in the future. I don’t remember any of them predicting the power of the tech would have over business, politics, media, and hours of every single day for billions of people. Even without AGI, it’s quite possible that were still underestimating. The effects of predictive, probabilistic computing 20 or 50 years from now.

sdf2erf|23 days ago

The internet alone didnt change sh!t. Without smartphones, unified app stores, cellular network innovation et al internet traffic would not be so high.

Funny how people leave this stuff out. Yawn. Basic simpleton analysis and takes.

dd8601fn|23 days ago

They were replying to this particular underestimation:

> AI is limited to probabilistic and annoying chatbots that are for entertainment and for looking up trivia questions.

That is not a rational assessment of the utility that the technology provides, even today.