[fhd2]

I think most of us - if not _all_ of us - don't know how to use these things well yet. And that's OK. It's an entirely new paradigm. We've honed our skills and intuition based on humans building software. Humans make mistakes, sure, but humans have a degree and style of learning and failure patterns we are very familiar with. Humans understand the systems they build to a high degree, this knowledge helps them predict outcomes, and even helps them achieve the goals of their organisation _outside_ writing software.

I kinda keep saying this, but in my experience:

1. You trade the time you'd take to understand the system for time spent testing it.

2. You trade the time you'd take to think about simplifying the system (so you have less code to type) into execution (so you build more in less time).

I really don't know if these are _good_ tradeoffs yet, but it's what I observe. I think it'll take a few years until we truly understand the net effects. The feedback cycles for decisions in software development and business can be really long, several years.

I think the net effects will be positive, not negative. I also think they won't be 10x. But that's just me believing stuff, and it is relatively pointless to argue about beliefs.