[tylervigen]

For 2026 SOTA models I think that is fair.

For the last generation of models, and for today's flash/mini models, I think there is still a not-unreasonable binary question ("is this a pelican on a bicycle?") that you can answer by just looking at the result: https://simonwillison.net/2024/Oct/25/pelicans-on-a-bicycle/