[bagacrap]

This post resonates, however, I don't think it's fully accurate to think of the pipeline as "junior ... senior". Think of the landscape in terms of terminal job efficacy. Everyone has a potential, which they may or may not eventually fulfill, but let's assume that in the past most were at least given the chance to fulfill it. Is it that LLM coding deprives some of that chance, or does it mean you need to have a higher potential efficacy to have a place in the industry? I think the latter. IOW, talented juniors will still have a place and path to becoming talented seniors. It's mainly less skilled or lower potential devs that will suffer. (I fully acknowledge that skill floor may be increasing very rapidly and soon overtake me.)

[fizeek]

Very good take on this. I do agree there will be a place for the competent devs out there. Would you say that coding ability may be less of a factor moving forward but your potential to understand concepts, creativity and grasp on the bigger picture may be more important than ever?

[bagacrap]

I guess it depends on what you mean by coding ability. I used to think one of my super powers was being a faster than average typist who was familiar with vim. Compared to those in my immediate vicinity I could edit files much faster. That ability has rapidly lost value. But the ability to read and understand unfamiliar code quickly is still "coding ability" in my book and that has not yet begun to lose value. I haven't seen much success in getting agents to help with that.