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alwillis | 17 days ago

> It’s an impossible war and all these investors are throwing their money into a bottomless insatiable pit of money.

Anthropic went from zero to $14 billion in revenue in less than 3 years, growing at 10x per year.

That's what they're investing in.

Also Anthropic seems laser-focused, unlike some of their competitors who are throwing stuff against the wall to see what sticks.

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Insanity|17 days ago

Revenue, but what about profit? Google can be cash positive but I’m not sure Anthropic can be the same.

alwillis|14 days ago

What about it?

It took Twitter 10 years before it was profitable [1]. I'd guess that Anthropic will be one of the companies left standing when it's all said and done, assuming nothing catastrophic happens.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twitter,_Inc.#Funding

2sdd|16 days ago

Also the switching cost. If its negligible theres no reason for Anthropic to be considered a going-concern in the long term. So its valuation makes no sense from a DCF basis unless you are expecting a liquidation in future. But even then, the liquidation value still doesn't justify its valuation today.