[stephc_int13]

The long tail is fatter and longer than many people expect.

AlphaZero was a special/unusual case, I would say an outlier.

FSD is still not ready, but people have seen it working for ten years, slowly climbing up the asymptote, but still not reaching human level driving, and it may take a while.

I use AI models for coding every day, I am not a luddite, but I don't feel the AGI, not at all, what I am seeing is a nice tool that is seriously over-hyped.