[milchek]

I think for a lot of folks it basically comes down to just using AI to make the tasks they have to do easier and to free up time for themselves.

I’d argue the majority use AI this way. The minority “10x” workers who are using it to churn through more tasks are the motivated ones driving real business value being added - but let’s be honest, in a soulless enterprise 9-5 these folks are few and far between.

[sarchertech]

Sure but why haven’t you seen a drastic increase in single person startups.

Why are there fewer games launched in steam this January than last?

[vidarh]

Because very few knows how to use AI. I teach AI courses on the side. I've done auditing supervised fine tuning and RLHF projects for a major provider. From seeing real prompts, many specifically from people who work with agents every day, people do not yet have the faintest clue how to productively prompt AI. A lot of people prompt them in ways that are barely coherent.

Even if models stopped improving today, it'd take years before we see the full effects of people slowly gaining the skills needed to leverage them.

[rustystump]

Because ai doesnt work like this “make me money” or “make stardew valley in space”. The hard part is the painful exploration and necessary taste to produce something useful. The number of these kind of people did not increase with ai.

Eg, ai is a big multiplier but that doesnt mean it will translate to “more” in the way people think.

[milchek]

It comes down back to that whole discussion around intelligence becoming cheaper and more accessible but motivation and agency remaining stable.

I’ve worked with a few folks who have been given AI tools (like a designer who never coded in his life, a or video/content creator) who have absolutely taken off with creating web apps and various little tools and process improvements for themselves thanks by just vibecoding what they wanted. The key with both these individuals is high agency, curiosity, and motivation. That was innate, the AI tooling just gave them the external means to realise what they wanted to do with more ease.

These kinds of folks are not the majority, and we’re still early into this technological revolution imo (models are improving on a regular basis).

In summary, we’ve given the masses to “intelligence” but creativity and motivation stay the same.

[h14h]

My guess is that the true impact of this will be difficult to measure for a while. Most "single-person start-ups" will probably not be high-visibility VC-backed, YC affairs, and rather solopreneurs with a handful of niche moonlighted apps each making 3-4 digit monthly revenue.

[copperx]

Haven't you? I have! In another reply, I noted the avalanche of WisprFlow competitors, as just one example.

[Bombthecat]

Huh? Less games launched on steam? First time I hear that. Any source?

But my guess would be: games are closed sourced and need physics. Which AI is bad at.