[aaroninsf]

Ximm's Law applies to the "plateau" of 10%

In other words: notionally, if not literally, by the time trailing numbers are collected they are out of date.

This is of course axiomatic, but, that staleness is a serious matter in this particular moment.

It's a cliché that six months can be a lifetime on the bleeding edge of tech.

This is the first time in my career that is more or less literally true.

Humans reason poorly with non-linear change.

This entire article is a demonstration of that.