[mirekrusin]

This article seems to have "basically zero" content.

Today you have to be blind to not see the change that is coming.

World has its own (massive) inertia, burocracy present in businesses accounting for a big part in it.

AI itself is moving fast but not at infinite speeds. We start to have good enough tooling but it's not yet available to everyone and it still hangs on too many hacks that will need to crystalize. People have a lot of mess to sort out in their projects to start taking full advantage of AI tooling - in general everybody has to do bottom up cleanup and documentation of all their projects, setup skills and whatnot and that's assuming their corp is ok with it, not blocking it and "using ai" doesn't mean that "you can copy paste code to/from copilot 365".

As people say - something changed around Dec/Jan. We're only now going to start seeing noticable changes and changes themselves will start speeding up as well. But it all takes time.

[sjaiisba]

> As people say - something changed around Dec/Jan

Yes, Anthropic decided they wanted to IPO and got the hype machine in full swing.

Don’t get me wrong LLMs are here to stay but how we’re currently using them is likely going to change a lot. Stuff like this:

> in general everybody has to do bottom up cleanup and documentation of all their projects, setup skills and whatnot and that's assuming their corp is ok with it, not blocking it

Is not needed to get a lot out of AI, and is mostly snake oil. Integrating them with actionable feedback is, but that takes a lot of time and rethinking of some existing systems.

I don’t like the Internet analogy cause that’s like producing a new raw material, but AI is gonna be like Excel eventually (one of the most important pieces of software in the world).

[mirekrusin]

It's not Dec/Jan is not just anthropic, tooling clicked (ie. vscode copilot became great, no need for CC really but CC for VSCode also stopped sucking), great models were released with really good tool use, better coding and sucking less and people had holiday break at scale to actually have time to play with it – it all clicked for a lot of people around that period.

[ipaddr]

Nothing changed in Dec/Jan. Everything changed in 2023 with someones first openAI chat and things are slowly getting adopted into everything with high, marginal and negative benefits.

Things are actually slowing down. And society will still see AI adding little to next years report. The costs still outweigh the benefits.

[dvt]

We're still 6-12+ months away from a "killer" AI product. OpenClaw showed what's possible-ish, but it breaks half the time, eats tokens like crazy, and can leak all kinds of secrets. Clearly there's potential there, and a lot of people are working on products in the AI space (myself included), but anyone that's seriously tried to wrangle these models will agree with the reality that it's very hard to reliably get them to do what you want them to do.

[DrewADesign]

> We're still 6-12+ months away from a "killer" AI product. OpenClaw showed what's possible-ish, but it breaks half the time, eats tokens like crazy, and can leak all kinds of secrets.

If you replace OpenClaw with any number of other hot LLM products/projects, I’ve been hearing that same exact sentiment for numerous 6-to-12-month periods. I’d argue we have no idea how long it’s doing to be, but it’s probably not very soon.

[slopinthebag]

We're only 5 years away from fusion energy!

[burgerone]

It's not that the technology is not there yer, it's all the ethical concerns and the mental barrier that nobody wants to spend their day begging AI for solutions.

[geraneum]

> This article seems to have "basically zero" content.

Why? It’s descriptive of the “past”. While you’re trying to predict the near/far “future” and project your assumptions. Two different things.

[staplers]

  the change that is coming.

Everything you argue reinforces that net output was still basically zero last year. I don't see them talking about 2026 data..

[gaigalas]

Change is always coming. It's cute when someone thinks this time it's going to be special.

[__loam]

Can't even spell bureaucracy while you're making big predictions like this.

[mirekrusin]

Now you know it wasn't written by a bot.