[overgard]

> Focusing on Dario, his exact quote IIRC was "50% of all white collar jobs in 5 years" which is still a ways off, but to check his track record, his prediction on coding was only off by a month or so. If you revisit what he actually said, he didn't really say AI will replace 90% of all coders, as people widely report, he said it will be able to write 90% of all code.

Ugh, people here seem to think that all software is react webapps. There are so many technologies and languages this stuff is not very good at. Web apps are basically low hanging fruit. Dario hasn't predicted anything, and he does not have anyone's interests other than his own in mind when he makes his doomer statements.

[keeda]

The problem is, the low hanging fruit, the stuff it's good at, is 90% of all software. Maybe more.

And it's getting better at the other 10% too. Two years ago ChatGPT struggled to help me with race conditions in a C++ LD_PRELOAD library. It was a side project so I dropped it. Last week Codex churned away for 10 minutes and gave me a working version with tests.

[overgard]

I think that typescript is a language uniquely suited to LLMs though:

  - It's garbage collected, so variable lifetimes don't need to be traced
  - It's structurally typed, so LLMs can get away with duplicating types as long as the shape fits. 
  - The type system has an escape hatch (any or unknown)
  - It produces nice stack traces
  - The industry has more or less settled styling issues (ie, most typescript looks pretty uniform stylistically).
  - There is an insane amount of open source code to train on
  - Even "compiled" code is somewhat easy(er) to deobfuscate and read (because you're compiling JS to JS)

Contrast that with C/C++:

  - Memory management is important, and tricky
  - Segfaults give you hardly anything to work with
  - There are like a thousand different coding styles
  - Nobody can agree on the proper subset of the language to use (ie, exceptions allowed or not allowed, macros, etc.)
  - Security issues are very much magnified (and they're   already a huge problem in vibecoded typescript)
  - The use cases are a lot more diverse. IE, if you're using typescript you're probably either writing a web page or a server (maybe a command line app). (I'm lumping electron in here, because it's still a web page and a server). C is used for operating systems, games, large hero apps, anything CPU or memory constrained, etc.

I'm not sure I agree that typescript is "90% of all software". I think it's 90% of what people on hacker news use. I think devs in different domains always overestimate the importance of their specific domain and underestimate the importance of other domains.

[ilumanty]

Claude keeps getting SQLite's weird GROUP BY with MIN/MAX behavior completely wrong. Generally, complex SQL is not its strong side.