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afavour | 2 days ago

> But the path there is getting shorter over time, clearly.

Why do you assume there is no hard limit we’ll hit with the current tech that prevents us from reaching AGI?

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ACCount37|1 day ago

The first reason is that LLM advancements are yet to stop. And the second reason is that "the current tech" is a moving target.

If, let's say, in 2029, it turns out that autoregressive transformer LLMs have exhausted their potential, the R&D that goes into improving them now would be put into finding alternatives. And I struggle to imagine not finding any.