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concinds | 1 day ago

No it's not. This is an air strike campaign, no boots on the ground. It'll end in two weeks. There is no chance China or Russia get involved, like last time, so "WW3" is completely non-credible.

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AlecSchueler|1 day ago

> ...no boots on the ground. It'll end in two weeks

Why do we never learn from history?

concinds|1 day ago

There are no ground ops and there is no possibility of any significant ground ops given current deployments.

HauntingPin|1 day ago

Yes ... why do we never learn from history? What's with the selective memory?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93Israel_war

The previous campaign lasted a whole 13 days and WW3 didn't start. I'm not sure why anybody thinks it'll be different now or why Russia or China would bother going to war for Iran. That makes zero sense.

pseingatl|1 day ago

Bombing never wins wars, with one exception.

bombing of: -N.Vietnam -Germany -Serbia -Sudan -Tunisia -England

Exception:

-Japan

That is not to say bombing doesn't have its uses in war. The bombing of the oilfields of Ploesti in Romania severely damaged the German war machine. But it took Russian boots on the ground in Berlin to effect a German surrender.

bojan|1 day ago

Being Serbian, the bombing campaign of 1999. was successful. It lead to the (temporary, 12-years long) regime change, and to the de-facto independence of Kosovo. It ended the war.

TheAlchemist|1 day ago

While it's possible, it's unlikely. Iranian regime is in a corner - they have no choice anymore but to escalate, and escalate quickly.

suddenlybananas|1 day ago

There might be boots on the ground eventually given Trump's speech.

>The lives of courageous American heroes may be lost and we may have casualties. That often happens in war, but we’re doing this not for now. We’re doing this for the future, and it is a noble mission

Very foreboding.

shusaku|1 day ago

Iran is hitting back at US bases so it could be related to those risks, rather than a full invasion.

(Crazy idea, maybe the people shouldn’t be left in the dark about their government’s war plans by having a deliberate legislative body debate and vote on it)

concinds|1 day ago

It's a sinister statement, but despite everything the U.S. has moved to the region, they didn't move the stuff they would need to move for ground operations.