[dmos62]

> This feels like a much bigger development than Russia-Ukraine.

Russia-Ukraine war is 1M+ combat casualties deep and is nowhere near finished. You are out of touch.

[bawolff]

But russia-ukraine is also a much more contained war between 2 parties that will likely end in a stalemate.

The middle east is a much more tangled web of alliances and hatreds, i think the iranian regime falling would have much more harder to predict second order geopolitical effects.

[bojan]

> But russia-ukraine is also a much more contained war between 2 parties that will likely end in a stalemate.

The whole of Europe is affected, it might seem contained only if you live very far away. Every European country is affected in one way or another.

It's not a stalemate if Ukraine ends up losing 30% of its territory. That's Russian victory.

[torlok]

I hope you're joking. This is such "Ukrainians are just Russians by a different name" logic. China, Belarus, and North Korea are deep in this conflict, so are all the European countries. There's no stalemate end to this war, only a temporary cease fire or the collapse of Russia.