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notepad0x90 | 1 day ago
You're not participating in a "market" (even though they call it that), you're purely gambling and speculating. People have been doing this since currency was a thing. Even gambling laws don't apply in my opinion. If I told you the government will publish evidence of aliens existing tomorrow, and we make a bet on it, that's not really gambling, it's not so much a game of choice as it is a competition of who can predict things better. The other person might have insider knowledge, but it's up to you to either take on that risk or assume despite that your knowledge about the topic will overcome their potential insider knowledge.
danny_codes|1 day ago
notepad0x90|1 day ago
Maybe it can fall under gambling laws, but not under securities laws.
I don't agree with any gambling laws whatsoever, so I can't say I'm the right person to comment on the subject of how to classify this sort of betting. The entire concept of individual liberty is a farce if you can't gamble without restriction. People have been betting on who would kill the prey or gather the most fruits since their hunter & gatherer days. Gambling and freely sharing what you posses (copyright is illegitimate) are fundamental human rights.