[programmertote]

Either this will end in a fractured state with different factions OR another Ayatollah will be in charge. Just my guess from seeing similar stories play out in other countries though....

[suoloordi]

Iran is not like other countries in the region. Despite its shortcomings, it's a cohesive society. I'm certain that there will be no fracturing and a central authority will emerge.

[throwaway2037]

    > Iran is not like other countries in the region. Despite its shortcomings, it's a cohesive society.

This is a weird comment. I would also describe Jordan, Oman, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia as cohesive societies.

[elcritch]

Indeed, I'vve already read about an opposition government being organized.

[christkv]

From my reading I get the feeling it has more in common with Spain and Portugal before the fall of the dictatorships.

[adamiscool8]

Even as we speak, Ayatollah Razmara and his cadre of fanatics are consolidating their power!

[bombcar]

It’s Ayatollah Rubio.

[indubioprorubik]

Maybe .. the revolutionary guard is fed up though with ineffective empire rule? Like to be rubbed in the dirt face first repeatetly as inheritor of the mighty persian empire sucks bad enough, to reconsider the way things are run? Sorry, but whatever israel & the us are doing, seems to work way better than - whatever has happened the last decades in iran?

[ReptileMan]

Even as we speak Israeli missiles are target at him.

[hnthrowaway0315]

I think maybe the reformists are able to hold on now that the IRGC is being hammered. There might be more internal bloodshed but chances are that Iran might be a bit more open and more modern. Of course I have zero knowledge about how Iran politics works, so that was just a guess, not even an intelligent one.

BTW I don't actually think even the reformists will "accept Western ideas".

[XorNot]

"Mission Accomplished"

[mkoubaa]

We have such short memories don't we