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latexr | 12 hours ago
I find it… Amusing? That’s not quite the word. That programmers—a group notoriously for making wrong estimates of how long something will take to build—continuously and confidently spew a version of this.
And it’s not even estimating how long we ourselves would take to build something, now we’re onto estimating what an undetermined team of completely made up strangers could do. It’s bonkers. It has no basis in reality.
dahart|12 hours ago
latexr|11 hours ago
Yes, it is. “It would take a team 6 months” is an estimate, and I don’t see how you can argue it’s not. Even if it just said it would take them longer, that would still be an estimate.
> Claude makes me 10x faster than on my own without AI
Also an estimate.
> where 10x absolutely is a completely made up number
And by your own admission, an estimate taken from the ass that you thus cannot be certain is true. Made up perception does not equal reality.
https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-o...