[docdeek]

"That “brand new account” was created in October 2024 and has 88 predictions based upon your own evidence.”

https://x.com/pearsonm103/status/2028176543264969145

[signorovitch]

That same account[0] has also already lost at least 100k betting on similar middle eastern conflict markets. Not at all ruling out insider information, certainly looks suspicious, but it’s easy just to find one big win or winner.

[0] https://polymarket.com/@magamyman

[rustyhancock]

Yes this is just survivorship bias.

Polymarket is huge some people are bound to have impressive runs.

This person hand multiple stacked bets for this outcome by varying dates.