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artrockalter | 17 hours ago

It would be interesting if most of our confusion with quantum mechanics came from treating probabilities as independent when they are actually highly correlated. I don’t really know any physics, but I’m familiar with probability and this type of problem seems to be the most common error in interpreting probabilities.

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butILoveLife|16 hours ago

I don't have any skin in the game, but people should be aware of Induction vs Deduction.

Induction had the earth at the center of the solar system and had the best calculations to predict where Mars was. Copernicus said earth was at the center, the equations were simpler, but were worse at predicting the location of planets.(until we figured out they moved in ellipses)

When we say "All swans are white, because I've never seen a black swan." Its probabilistically true. That is induction. If we found swans didn't have the gene to make black feathers, that would be deduction.

Deduction is probably the most true, if it is true. (But it is often 100% wrong)

Induction is always semi true.

Quantum mechanics seems to be in the stage of induction. Particles are like the earth at the center of the solar system. We need a Copernican revolution.

Findeton|17 hours ago

I wonder how this work relates to Jacob Barandes’s indivisible stochastic processes.