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Strikes in Middle East since 28th Feb in real time

44 points| vlindos | 19 days ago |iranstrike.com | reply

60 comments

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[+] embedding-shape|19 days ago|reply
https://iran.liveuamap.com/ is a more human curated experience of pretty much the same thing (+ more), albeit not as flashy and a more traditional UI compared to the obviously LLM-generated UI + colorscheme.
[+] dyauspitr|19 days ago|reply
I’m not seeing any simulations. It’s just a text feed?
[+] ismail|19 days ago|reply
Also no inversion on who started the war.
[+] nullhole|19 days ago|reply
"What fools we are to live in a generation for which war is a computer game for our children and just an interesting little Channel 4 news item"

- Tony Benn, MP, in the UK parliament, speaking against a resolution authorizing bombing of Iraq in 1998

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HfXmpJRZPYI

[+] markus_zhang|19 days ago|reply
Yeah. The big men wage real wars, kill people. What do they expect from the children?
[+] ryanwhitney|19 days ago|reply
Seems like the sword and shield icons are backwards in terms of who started the war. And “bloc” vs “coalition” lol.

Wonder how much of this came out of the prompter’s mind versus the LLM itself.

[+] whatshisface|19 days ago|reply
Nobody would put this much effort into it as a hobby unless they were happy about it, so that necessitates a certain point of view.
[+] Karrot_Kream|19 days ago|reply
Use a uBO filter to change the icons? Write a Vibe coded extension that flips the icons?
[+] cess11|19 days ago|reply
Kind of weird to mark Lebanon as a belligerent, unless Iraq also gets the tag.

I prefer to wait until ACLED has curated information, and until then browse video snippets and draw conclusions from those.

[+] nahmish|14 days ago|reply
Creator here. Thanks for the feedback. a few responses:

  The dashboard aggregates 6 OSINT Telegram channels (BNO News, Aurora Intel,
  CIG Intel, OSINT Defender, etc.) and classifies events using Claude AI every
  3 minutes. The methodology is transparent - these are the same open sources
  analysts use.

  Re: the bias feedback - fair point on the iconography. The data itself is
  source-linked and I'm working on making the methodology more visible so
  people can evaluate the sourcing themselves.

  Re: the scoreboard confusion - the numbers represent events classified from
  Telegram reports, not official government counts. I'll add clearer labeling.

  Technical details if anyone's curious: React 19, Vercel serverless,
  Telegram HTML scraping, Claude Haiku classification. Runs for ~$30/month.
  Evaluated GPT-4.1 Mini and Gemini Flash as alternatives but Claude catches
  42% more events.
[+] curtisblaine|19 days ago|reply
If "launched" is the number of attacks one side has launched and "intercepted" is the number of attacks that one side has neutralized, "hit" should be the number of missiles that one side has launched and hit the target? No, apparently it's the number of targets that have been hit on one side. Also, currently the coalition has intercepted a thousand more attacks than Iraq block launched. How can it be? Friendly fire? This thing is incredibly confusing.
[+] heyitsmedotjayb|19 days ago|reply
The creator of this dashboard is Israeli - given some of the questions about the sword/shield icons, labelling of countries as belligerents/targets etc. I felt it was relevant to state this. Not to mention selective information bias.
[+] slg|19 days ago|reply
Considering this is a joint operation by the US and Israel plus the plurality if not the majority of the users of HN being American, I wonder would you have felt the need to comment this if the creator was American?
[+] Imustaskforhelp|19 days ago|reply
This is quite concerning. Your comment made me somehow wonder if the people of Israel seem to support this war and it turns out that the answer is sort of yes[0]

I remember Witold pilecki during these times although polish, he was the first person to report the allies about the atrocities happening within the holocaust which the allies thought were not even possible, they thought he was exaggerating, that there was no way that this level of atrocity can take place.

Only to see the nation torn up by that atrocity to be in the next few generations be the one supporting a war which has no end in sight, a war which is killing school children, civilians and so many more.

I just pray that the world can get better because I am worried for the jewish population because I am seeing hatred towards the group themselves online. Some of which don't want to do anything with the war and live normal lives, I just hope that they can use their voice to stand for what's right in terms of humanitarianism.

It's gonna be a cycle of hatred which breeds more hatred which is only gonna lead to pain. I hope that people of israel realize the option of peace too and protest against their govt. and I am hearing protests from the US side but not so much from the Israeli side. A world run on wars has no winners. People are also questioning how much US had a say in the war after Marco Rubio's statement and these wars are sadly gonna lead to more anti-semitism in the future affecting the normal jewish population the most.

I genuinely hope that in the future that, Israeli people can try to reflect on the whole situation and try to create an internal pressure to stop war.

Humanity can actually try to uplift itself but it seems that we are flailing downwards.

[0]: https://www.timesofisrael.com/poll-most-jewish-israelis-supp...

[+] the_arun|19 days ago|reply
I like the user interface. How is the data collected? is it community driven?
[+] cc-d|19 days ago|reply

[deleted]

[+] JumpCrisscross|19 days ago|reply
The interception disparity really drives home how air superiority dominates modern war planning. (That and not getting scammed on Russian kit.)
[+] dacox|19 days ago|reply
i feel like i misunderstand the UI - it seems to show coalition strikes mostly being intercepted? or does the bottom row refer to strikes against coalition forces?
[+] HardCodedBias|19 days ago|reply
I doubt that the Russian kit is a scam.

I'm sure it is reasonably good. It just can't compete with the US's combination of technology, quantity, and operational excellence.

I don't mean that in a rah-rah way, it just seems to be the reality.

[+] locusofself|19 days ago|reply
Why the hell is Iran bombing other middle eastern states, like UAE?

I'm quite naive about these conflicts but it seems like whoever is in charge of the Iran military really has a death wish. I wouldn't be surprised if Iran is a parking lot by the end of the year at this rate.

[+] tsimionescu|19 days ago|reply
They are mostly bombing US bases in those states + some connected locations (hotels where US operatives were being stationed), and energy production infrastructure.

Basically the Iranian war plan seems pretty simple and clear: try to destroy US and Israeli military infrastructure in the region, and destroy energy infrastructure to raise the cost of oil. The first part is a completely legitimate military target, especially in a war of defense as Iran is waging. The second part is not legitimate, but the thinking behind it is very simple and clear.

[+] BoredPositron|19 days ago|reply
Because disrupting energy exports is the easiest way to pressure their aggressors and most of the states are openly supporting the US. They get bombed to hell anyways because there was no real plan besides hoping for submission after the decapitation strike so they will make it hurt for everyone else. China is open for talks to keep Hormuz open. Russia is flying in whatever because they see a lifeline with higher energy prizes on the global market. The middle eastern states are diverting investments into the us. Look at a map there is no way the US can effectively put boots on the ground the whole country is a natural fortress. It would be a worse disaster than Afghanistan.
[+] cess11|19 days ago|reply
They said they would retaliate against US assets in the region if they were attacked, and then the US attacked, so now they kind of have to. In 1973 OAPEC announced that they were going to stop selling oil to countries that supported Israel in the Yom Kippur war, which rather quickly caused the US to rein in the israelis. Perhaps Iran is making a similar bet now.

Iran is a very large country, to make it into "a parking lot" would take many years, during which time we'd have a global recession and core US partners in the region would collapse.

Unlike what some would have you believe, the iranian leaders are generally quite thoughtful and educated. It's not an Idi Amin regime, or the occident would be supporting it.

[+] ale|19 days ago|reply
Because the UAE happily keeps their air space open to the US, and their economy is driven (largely) by rich westerners.
[+] Trasmatta|19 days ago|reply
They are attempting to pull other actors into the conflict to increase the chaos of the war, and to increase the cost to the US of fighting it. They can't necessarily win an all out war, but they can make it so costly to the US that the already small political capital they have to fight it dries up.
[+] markus_zhang|19 days ago|reply
Mostly bombing the airbases. And then went to bomb the oil infrastructure. Guess it is to show them that getting the US on your soil not only doesn’t give you protection but gives you bombs.

We will see how this plays out. Meanwhile gas is north of 1.6 CAD a litre in my city.

[+] backpackviolet|19 days ago|reply
It’s the Poor Man’s MAD (mutually assured destruction). They want this conflict to be as painful as possible so that pressure is applied to the aggressors to stop. The US can’t defend all of the possible targets, it causes a lot of economic damage and increases uncertainty for everyone in the region.

This is one of the reasons that most administrations declined to start a war with Iran in the past, the risk that they would do something like this, that taking out the leaders wouldn’t end the threat but would just make it more wild and unpredictable.

[+] JumpCrisscross|19 days ago|reply
> Why the hell is Iran bombing other middle eastern states, like UAE?

The theory was probably that the Gulf states are only begrudgingly going along with Washington in this war, and that the moment they start seeing costs they’ll personally call Trump to stop it. What Iran miscalculated on are the Gulf’s (a) long-time frustrations with Tehran, (b) massive bets on economies that suffer from capitulation and (c) monarchies being a stubborn lot.

Alternate hypothesis: Iran’s hardliners think escalating the war lets them consolidate more of a smaller pie. (If you’re looking for the truly WTF moves, it’s targeting Cyprus and Azerbaijan, the latter who has Iran’s sizable Azeri minority right on its border.)

[+] system2|19 days ago|reply
They all have security guarantees from the US and host US military bases. Also, they are like the psycho child who wants to hurt anyone nearby. The government is an occupying force in Iran, which is not wanted by iranian people. Some arabs took over Iran 40 years ago and have been terrorizing anyone nearby and the people of Iran.
[+] rglover|19 days ago|reply
We live in truly bizarre times.
[+] seydor|19 days ago|reply
what purpose does this serve? betting ?
[+] slg|19 days ago|reply
One of the more unintentionally depressing comments I have ever seen on HN, the first guess on the "purpose" of reporting on a war is to profit from it by gambling. Our society has gotten to a dark place.
[+] Imustaskforhelp|19 days ago|reply
(A little offtopic?) but Is there anything that the general public can do to show their dissatisfaction with the war.

I hated Khamenei. He was a cruel dictator but the way the war is happening, the strikes are gonna impact the Iranian lives the most. They are stuck between a rock and cliff.

I am not a military guy but I could've either expected this 1 month ago when the protests were going on but the way this has happened, with bombings on girl schools somehow taking place by US/Israel. What has happened is that Khamenei has somehow become a martyr. Something unthinkable a month ago.

I know the world is being crazy mad nowadays but this seems to be the tipping point for me as the world escalates towards hot war.

I'd like to know if society at large or even politicians or anyone had a say in all of this. It all just happened all of a sudden.

I remember hearing the news of US attacking Iran on radio and I was geniunely shocked. Like, the only thing I was thinking was "Is this fucking gonna happen"

then Khamenei got killed. Once again, some were saying just a few days now and celebrating while others were critical that this isn't as easy as killing khamenei and the war is still left.

The way US has done this all, the key takeaway for most countries is to make their own nukes. Iran was negotiating for all its flaws to control nuclear but US striked it while also contradicting things it said a few months back.

If Iran truly had nuclear, US couldn't have done this so are we having the idea of make nukes to protect oneself which to me does feel like something which can be prevented, I am not sure.

Now, I am hearing news of a proper ground invasion becoming more and more likely and also Kurdish forces being given arms to do it too and the war streching to 5-8 weeks but I don't think that's the case especially when Israel is somehow having the say here saying that we will kill anyone who comes in power next to khamenei which makes anything like a venezuela style thing (which was still illegal mind you) just straight up impossible.

The world is heading up towards a cliff and it feels like we don't even have any say in it. Not even American citizens whose taxpayers are being used.

I just feel frustrated by geopolitics. I used to enjoy reading about geopolitics 1 year back but literally the past year of geopolitics have been so depressing. Like, I remember thinking a year back, this must be the lowest point but now I wonder that there can always be a more lower point.

At some point tho, we are bound to have global stability slowly get better. I just hope that its now rather than later otherwise if we go even more down on this slippery slope, then I don't know where we are headed. at this point, I don't even know where we are.