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ctbeiser | 13 years ago

"As the deflationary feedback amplifies the desire to hoard, the exchanges will become illiquid."

The rest of it makes perfect sense, but why would we think this, rather than that market forces will drive prices up, and people will sell as a result, fulfilling demand?

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surrealize|13 years ago

If you see it going up, why would you sell? In the deflationary spiral scenario, it'll just keep on going up, so it's in your interest to hold on.

wmf|13 years ago

We see people selling at $100 and $200; would we expect people to not sell at $10,000?

rhizome|13 years ago

market forces will drive prices up, and people will sell as a result, fulfilling demand?

I'm no economist, but I'm pretty sure this state of affairs is not guaranteed.

el_senor_duerpo|13 years ago

I am an economist, and I have no idea what that means. Sounds to me like confusion over two things: (i) the difference between "supply and demand" and the "quantity supplied" or "quantity demanded" and (ii) equilibrium. The circular logic is a tell tale sign. Price goes up, so people demand less, so price goes down, so people demand more... That's the whole point of equilibrium. Where does all of that net out.