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12423gsd | 11 years ago

The reality is that the professionals have better tools. It's not just gambling, it's gambling against someone that can see the cards.

If there is some method to turn $1 into $2 then there is a whole sea of people who are better and smarter than me who will keep doing it till that method no longer works.

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Mikeb85|11 years ago

> The reality is that the professionals have better tools. It's not just gambling, it's gambling against someone that can see the cards.

They may have better tools, but small investors have the advantage of being nimble.

If you're trading say, 10K per trade on large-cap stocks, you can have your entire trade executed within 10 seconds without moving the stock price (thanks to HFT, but that's another story). This makes trading on swings much easier for the small investor.

And there are plenty of tools available for the small investor, most brokers will give you access to them when you sign up for an account. Sure, you may not get streaming L2 quotes on a basic account, but you'll get all the company information you need and access to basic real-time quotes. If you want to get a little more sophisticated, you can use something like R to automate some of the information-gathering process, run models against historic data, or simply use it for very fancy charts (with every technical indicator known to mankind).

And, as has been mentioned, hedge funds, mutual funds, etc..., have different motives for trading. Sometimes they are hedging, sometimes diversifying, often they're very long term, etc... They're not always trading. Even HFT is mostly arbitrage. There's still plenty of room for small to medium traders to make money.

snowwrestler|11 years ago

Professionals also have a much more diverse set of goals, obligations, and restrictions. For example a professional running an SP500 index fund is not going to buy a great deal just because they can see it. Their goal is to track the SP500 and that is how they will decide which deals to do.

Even for non-index managed funds there are often objectives or restrictions like cap size, geographical location, industry, time horizon, etc.

So while they might have better tools, they're not necessarily competing with you directly.