top | item 883834

(no title)

skwiddor | 16 years ago

Moore's law doesn't say anything about speed or power. It says manufacturing costs will lower from technological improvements such that the transistor count in an IC will double every 2 years.

And here's a pretty graph

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Transistor_Count_and_Moore...

The misunderstanding makes people who say such twaddle as "Moore's Law, the founding axiom behind Intel, that chips get exponentially faster".

If we extrapolate 2 years = double speed then the

1993 P1 @ 66Mhz would now be running at 16.9Ghz

The 1995 200Mhz Pentium now would be 25.6Ghz

The 1997 300Mhz Pentium now would be 19.2Ghz

The 1999 500Mhz Pentium now would be 16Ghz

The 2000 1.3Ghz Pentium now would be 20Ghz

The 2002 2.2Ghz Pentium would be going on 35Ghz this Fall

The 2002 3.06Ghz Pentium would be going on 48Ghz at Xmas

If you plot speed vs year you get two straight lines with a change in gradient in 1999 with the introduction of the P4

discuss

order

No comments yet.