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stevebot | 11 years ago

"People never did end up taking laptops fishing"

The article starts off describing laptops on airplanes, the tag about fishing just seems like an exaggeration by the author. I would say that the author was wrong and this is a good example of a bad prediction. I mean, did you read the line about floppy disks? The authors points were that laptops are #1 to heavy #2 their software doesn't stack up and #3 their price is far to high.

All of the predictions are wrong, so I see this author as betting on the wrong horse.

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PhasmaFelis|11 years ago

All of those points were true, though. (Also #4, the displays suck.) The author correctly called out all the reasons that laptops weren't popular at the time. Maybe he didn't explicitly say "and once these problems are fixed, laptop sales will rise," but you can read between the lines.

stevebot|11 years ago

If you read the last paragraph the author doesn't believe in the idea of the laptop and says they will remain a niche market. I honestly believe he couldn't imagine a light, affordable laptop with features being desired other than in niche settings like the military.

cm2187|11 years ago

Well, the predictions about floppy disks was actually true at one point. They were just called USB keys.

nknighthb|11 years ago

Could you list the specific predictions you believe the author made?

stevebot|11 years ago

The prediction is in the title, and it's that laptops are a drying (or dead) trend because they are #1 too heavy, #2 do not have good software, #3 are too expensive.