Heinleinian's comments

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: How The First Google Glass Commercial Should Have Gone

In general, tech companies probably shouldn't do any preview videos at all -- they should just show a product demo when it's ready.

I do think a video like the one described in the link could be done in a way that it was clearly so far in the future that everyone would know it was an imagination thing, like the concept cars at auto shows, that could turn into a real product in 5-10 years. And it would be worthwhile to get people thinking about augmented reality. But those kind of far-off concept promotions are really hard to do well.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: Paul Graham: Y Combinator Companies Have Raised Over $1 Billion

Last I checked you still have to get users/customers to be a winner in business. YC has clout with investors, so their companies are more likely to get investment, but that's not the right measure of who is a winner.

The millions of consumers you need as customers (or, if B-to-B, say fortune 500 companies) don't give a damn about the YC stamp of approval.

Increased investment only turns into increased "wins" if you use that money to get more users/customers, i.e. with a better sales team, more marketing dollars. Is this happening? I don't know, it sure seems like a lot of software companies are eschewing traditional marketing and sales and counting on viral growth to be a success, but you can't just hire more engineers and increase a product's viral-ness. I don't think anyone truly understands what makes a software product catch on.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: What VCs look for in startup pitches

Apparently Vincent hasn't figured out how to pre-filter people before he gives up 30 minutes to meet with them...

Perhaps he should look for a new associate or two.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: How The First Google Glass Commercial Should Have Gone

Exactly. It really is a shame that the true implications of augmented reality got lost in all the Google glass mockery. Forget the text message pop-ups and map overlays, that's all basically meaningless. Just a slightly easier to look at version of what's already on your phone.

But this kind of continuous melding of real life with video game graphics? A game-changer. Extrapolate it to everyone being able to see whatever they want to see, all the time, and things start to get pretty crazy pretty fast. Highly recommend Vernor Vinge's book Rainbows End for a full look at where this could take us a few years from now.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: If You Don’t Think You Need It, You Haven’t Seen Greatness

The original, $10 million X Prize (for the first private space flights) was launched this way. They did a huge press conference to launch the prize competition, and got the head of NASA and a bunch of astronauts there.

Peter Diamandis later said he didn't have a dime of the prize money at the time -- he quietly raised it later. In the meantime, everyone just assumed he had it because the launch event had so much credibility attached to it.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: Sally Ride, First American Woman In Space, Is Dead

Um, no. Valentina was the first woman in space in 1963. However, the Russians didn't fly another woman in space for the next 20 years, not until we flew Sally Ride. We've flown a female astronaut almost every year since, they've flown one. The full count is: US, 45 female astronauts, Russia/SU: 3.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_female_astronauts

To this day the Russians still have a superstition that flying with a woman is bad luck, and many of them refuse to fly with one.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: HN's Daeken will expose security flaw in 4m hotel room keycard locks

It's the Locksmith Institute. Locksmiths are who you call to get into a door to something own, but to which you lost the key. So presumably there's situations where a hotel can't get their keys working, and they'd like to have locksmiths in their city who are trained in this. Don't think it's any more complicated than that...

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: On Patents

Presumably there's some kind of legal construct that could act as a poison pill. i.e. some kind of contract that says "if this patent is used for [insert evil purposes here], it is immediately converted to GPL."

Also, I refuse to lump defensive patent holders in with organizations like shell-corporation patent trolls or Intellectual Ventures. From what I can tell, IV isn't even bothering to try and execute on ideas they come up with. They simply brainstorm, apply for the patent based on the idea vapors, and then go after anyone who is putting in the blood and sweat to try and actually build it.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: The "Just look at it" hack for problem solving

Relevant: "Putting creativity on a pedestal can also be an excuse for laziness. There is a lot of cultural belief that creativity comes from inspiration, and can't be rushed. Not true. Inspiration is just your subconscious putting things together, and that can be made into an active process with a little introspection.

Focused, hard work is the real key to success. Keep your eyes on the goal, and just keep taking the next step towards completing it. If you aren't sure which way to do something, do it both ways and see which works better." -John Carmack

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: Newly released UFO files from the UK government

The problem with any hypothesis that involves Earth being visited by extraterrestrials isn't the almost unthinkably large distances involved, it's the timescales involved.

For any two given planets in the galaxy that could support intelligent life, in all likelihood the technological progress of those lifeforms will not align, and it won't be close. Imagine one civilization encountering another, except the first is 50,000 years more technologically advanced. Or 500,000 years. Or 5 million years. What would happen?

The more advanced civilization wouldn't be playing games to keep from being discovered, that's for sure. They wouldn't care. Even visiting the planet would be a total waste of time since with that level of technology they could certainly observe from afar.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: In Dieting, Magic Isn’t a Substitute for Science

This is what drives me crazy about the dieting issue. People will cite a study that involves 21 people. 21! Think of all the pain caused by people being overweight, and the insane costs imposed on our healthcare systems. With all that pain and cost, we can't come up with studies with larger sample sizes? Show me a double-blind study with 10,000 people and I'll start to take it seriously.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: The Annoying Thing About Self-Driving Cars: They Obey the Speed Limit

I was seriously trolling, also known as taking an idea to its logical extreme to make a point.

You're presenting a false choice here. There's lots of other ways to attack the drunk driving problem without taking everyone's drivers licenses away and banning normal driving, as the OP was advocating.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: In Dieting, Magic Isn’t a Substitute for Science

I have always wondered why the Adkins diet seems to work. The article basically says it is both more successful and yet has no physiological reason for being more successful. So why?

My first guess would be: carbs/bread is cheap and usually comes in large quantities, like unlimited bread baskets. Meat is expensive and comes in smaller quantities. So eating mostly meat just makes it easier to consume fewer calories by default. But again that's just a guess.

Heinleinian | 13 years ago | on: Kate Middleton’s Wedding Gown Demonstrates Wikipedia’s Woman Problem

Seems to me like they are often not actually out to delete the article, instead they're using the threat of deletion to try and spur the author to clean up an article to wikipedia's standards. Otherwise they'd have to do it themselves. In those cases I think it's actually a pretty reasonable strategy. There's a lot of crap and vanity articles that are thrown up there on any given day.
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