IlegCowcat's comments

IlegCowcat | 6 years ago | on: How to succeed or fail on a frontier (2006)

This guy's metaphor completely and totally breaks down when he begins comparing today's space agencies to China and Portugal of the 15th century.

Apollo and the shuttle weren't caravels and galleons. To extend the aquatic metaphor here, Apollo was our most sophisticated floating log at the time, and the Shuttle was our first real attempt at tying some logs together so we could ferry supplies back and forth to a little sandbar (the ISS) we created 15 feet off shore. If we ever try for Mars, we'll probably be sending our first dug-out canoe.

China and Portugal knew how to create decent and practical sailing ships. We barely know how to get into space, much less have anywhere near the technology available to exploit it properly.

And most importantly: THERE IS NO ONE AND NOTHING OUT THERE TO TRADE WITH. No developed resources and easily-available goods we can just pluck out of the metaphoric ground and take back. Everything up there has to go through a very complicated and expensive process of development before it becomes useful and profitable.

The better metaphor for the current state of space development may be if Portugal was the only human settlement in all the world, and its only watercraft were floating logs. The China vs Portugal argument might work in two hundred or more years, when we actually have the space-going equivalent of caravels and galleons, but for right now just finding a decent oar we can paddle with is quite an accomplishment.

IlegCowcat | 6 years ago | on: Applying deep learning to Airbnb search

It's a really honest description of the attempts to move to neural networks.

At least the way it's written it feels like no 'data scientists' were involved, it was all done by data engineers (software developer rather than statistical/modelling knowledge)... Which is depressing, if even Airbnb are biased to hiring only good developers (rather than a mix)

IlegCowcat | 6 years ago | on: The Rascal Metaprogramming Language

Reminds me of Coccinelle - a language for writing semantic patches for C (like eg: add close_foo(fooid) in every function that has open_foo for each fooid etc...) , but I see Rascal can do some more.

IlegCowcat | 6 years ago | on: Libra White Paper

I remember someone saying something along the lines of “Facebook will try and copy and crush us, but not this time- by the time they work out what’s happening, it’ll be too late”. Facebook seem to have noticed what’s happening and are moving like the wind to try and crush us. Are they too late or are we too late? Or neither?

IlegCowcat | 6 years ago | on: Open Up vs. Break Up

I wonder how much annually these monopolies collectively spend on lobbying gov against the populist temptation to break them up? Huge sums i assume. Huge.

I would first favour opening them up, see how it goes, and then consider alternative approaches if the desired outcome is not seen. I think it's critical to have a very clear idea of what the desired outcome would be before taking action. That would require a 20/ 20 view of what the problems are, but the monopolies are working hard to hide the problems from view. Google tries to present itself as not being a search dominant corporation (the Alphabet deception). Facebook is now a very big book and definitely needs 'editing'.

IlegCowcat | 6 years ago | on: Intel Announces 8 Core I9-9900KS: Every Core at 5Ghz, All the Time

I am likely the odd one out here, but wouldn't having the capability to turbo a single core to, let's say, 5.5 GHz or higher as factory stock be more useful in real life than the one or all eight core turbo to 5 GHz instead of 4.7? There are still enough single core/single thread apps out there that could benefit from faster single core performance, and this newest and hottest (also in temperature) i9 cannot go faster in single core than the 9900K.

IlegCowcat | 6 years ago | on: Why is the ‘race to 5G’ a race?

The ironic part is that mobile 5G is basically pointless. Fixed 5G could provide competition to cable companies if it actually works, but mobile 5G’s range is so short that anywhere with mobile 5G will be getting several hundred mbps on 4G from the same site and fiber improvements necessary for 5G that 5G itself is pointless. The upside is that the areas that get a dense small-cell buildout for 5G will have way better 4G service as a result that virtually everyone can use as soon as the cells go up and the fiber is lit up for them.

IlegCowcat | 6 years ago | on: AMD Ryzen 3000 announced

My guess: standing by for a last 2019 or 2020 refresh. AMD simply doesn't have to play their full hand right now to be competitive. Going to 16 core on AM4 looks to be trivial on paper since they're already doing 12 core: just a matter of clock speeds and core voltage to make it happen inside of AM4 parameters.
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