adleyjulian's comments

adleyjulian | 1 year ago | on: All three game console makers have now abandoned X integration

HBO to Max might be second for me. I associated premium and original content with the name HBO (Game of Thrones for example). I get they're trying to convey that it's not just prestige dramas, but in a world where people have multiple streaming services I think it makes sense to standout in terms of quality.

Close number 3 is Angie's List. It's been 3 years and the top link still says "Angie's List is Now Angi".

adleyjulian | 2 years ago | on: 3M knew its chemicals were harmful decades ago, but didn't tell the public

Some environmental advocates' rhetoric focused on the lower probability but much higher damage outcomes, e.g. Gore's Inconvenient Truth. Language like "up to 20 feet" etc to focus on the higher range.

A doctor could say an infection has a chance of death if left untreated. If the person lives they'd say the doctor was "wrong", and "the doctor gave me a month to live."

At this point most probable estimates are so bad it's besides the point, but I'd think the lower odds yet especially cataclysmic projections are worth attention.

adleyjulian | 2 years ago | on: Promptbase: All things prompt engineering

Financial engineer, software engineer, social engineering... etc are counter examples to requiring physical materials with properties.

Even from an etymology standpoint engineer comes from the Latin ingenium meaning clever.

adleyjulian | 2 years ago | on: The AI industry turns against its favorite philosophy

I think the EA community is very open about the uncertainties around the risks of AGI and the difficulty in addressing them. The point is that if there is even a 0.01% chance that AGI could threaten the existence of humanity then it's worth spending time and thought addressing it.

NASA has the Sentry program to look out for asteroids, with a budget of around $35 million, and the odds of a "big one" hitting in our life time is less than 1 in 10,000.

That said, the majority of EA spending is on global health and development to address immediate issues, on programs like Against Malaria.

adleyjulian | 2 years ago | on: Silicon Valley’s business model is a scam

Per SEC filings Uber has close to 4 million drivers worldwide. Even if you divide by 4 to account for part time drivers, you'd need 10k dispatchers. If their engineers make 5x as much as the dispatchers than you could have 2k engineers solely dedicated to automating dispatch and still break even.

I think they roughly have 2k engineers total and I have no idea what the breakdown is of what they do.