arrabe's comments

> sensationalist

unfortunately this is how you get 5~6 digit followers on fintwit. its no longer about nuanced analysis but how can I disguise my political narrative in the form of "DD" or "analytical take" but leave room for contingency in case somebody digs deeper and throws stone at my bridge made out of twigs?

take a giant grain of salt when reading Doomberg:

Doomberg has a habit of wildly exaggerating and also were openly funding the Canadian "insurrectionist" trucker convoy (not taking a political position just pointing out he has a specific political tint to his tweets sort of like Zero Hedge).

Who is he? Well first of all he appears to be parroting a lot of talking points from a specific political spectrum, this much is true, given his open support for the Trucker Convoy movement in Canada which has been associated with the typical antithesis to what the other side of the political spectrum.

I'm deliberately refraining from using the term "left" or "right" here, just highlighting that Doomberg amongst other fintwitters (financial twitters) have begun to weaponize analytical financial "findings" by discounting/exaggerating/excluding contradictory data that would hurt their narrative.

In the case of Doomberg, his narrative and "analysis" tie together to ring well to a particular ex-president now being investigated for withholding top secret documents that supposedly impact national security. Again, refusing to use terms like "Trump" or "Biden" and being impartial to convey the ilk of which characters like Doomberg are weaponizing what superficially sounds rational with numbers to boot (which when you dive deeper is riddled with obvious omissions, discounts and exclusion) to echo back what his followers who lean in a particular political direction want to hear and buy his newsletter.

tldr: Doomberg has a long history of questionable accuracy and partiality to create an echo chamber which he is able to monetize by carefully disguising political narratives of a particular lens (and one which much of HN crowd who are employed at a large company would be alarmed at) in the form of "alpha generating macro economic analysis" (but never materializes).

Tech companies can do whatever they want but it won't help them from becoming the scapegoat when the bubble bursts.

If they followed your advice, they would make the pending anti-trust lawsuit far easier for the prosecutor. ( Yes, a major anti-trust action is under works is what I'm hearing but first they will come for the crypto companies/exchanges who are officially allowing buy/sell of unregistered securities post-Ethereum merge)

I'm very glad that there are people in the higher ups that are willing to uphold the constitution. I still have cynicism but its good to know that there is a ceiling.

Don't want to alarm any of you but what I'm hearing through the grapevines is that anti-trust lawsuit against the big T companies are coming and they will be the scapegoat once the nasdaq craters (extreme amount of puts purchased by people who are suspected to have advanced insider information).

ex) Microsoft post dot come bubble.

Sound decision, many startups have at best 20 months of runway (or should) and will find it challenging (as in not able to raise anymore money) if the rate rises continue in to 2023 (very strong possibility)