doku's comments

By the time those resources are accessible, we'll be in a major flood disaster on all our coasts. Why don't we just leave this bit of resource alone for the sake of land that actually supports life.

Did the original paper show that the toy model was fully grokked?

"Solving" is a bad choice of word. SEO does not have a solved state.

Digital design of engines can already happen now. AI chip design is already a thing, I think they help lay out more efficient trace lines. Since digital design and simulation can all happen digially. The whole cycle is digital. A system like Claude's computer use can take control and produce 100s or thousands of small modification of existing design to be simulated and if it has testable performance critiera. I think it can be done now. Maybe some finetuning the model for specific UI control.

lol, I do mean a sniff with a nose. The technology I'm referring to can work by taking air sample. This technology exist, the prediction is that cheap version will be available. My assumption is robots will want a digital nose, for example nanny bots will want to smell smoke and react. An example I read for this technology is that grocery store robot will want to detect spoiled food. It will be mass produced and gets cheaper. But we don't have a robot industry yet, so my confidence level on this prediction is low. The AI part of this is just data analysis of spectral lines.

90% confidence level, Hottest weather in recorded history. Extreme weather in many places not seen before. No one is prepared for this commonplace outlier, Globally common, locally outlier. Huge insurance payout but most not fullfilled.

90% CL: Top search engine results completely inundated by LLM text, we none the wiser. SEO solved. Search engine switches to new algorithm based on LLM.

90% CL: AI with tool use that has access to physics simulator and CAD software will automatically advances efficent engine design.

70% CL: Million dollar prompt run on million dollar math prize. Millennium Prize Problems

40% CL: AI sucessfully held back invasive species encrochment with lessons from AI war machines

30% CL: Cheap AI nose sniffs out many common diseases. Automatic data analysis of Gas Chromatography and spectroscopy readings on patients' VOC(volatile organic compounds) produces fast and cheap diagnosis.

10% CL: Not next year, Cost of renewable electricity in remote area becomes cheap enough to pull oxygen from air or electrosis from water to be sold as commodity. Or other processes to package solar energy for trade.

I feel the dogged persuit of a task and obsessive curiosity might be more closely related to addiction than to self control. A good balance of productivity from the self control and the obessive curiosity of human nature might be needed for ascension

Wait till this happens on a cybertruck

lol, all science is bad at stats, and uses correlation as causation

decades of our immoral consumption condensed down to nine month

FREE = Data Collection

There are some articles on HN about boredom and creativity. Perhaps its just that firstborn have more time alone. It'd be interesting to see age differences vs creativity.

Singularity through AI won't happen, not by electronic AI, but by biological means. The advancement in biotech will out pace AI. Our sequencing technology is advancing at exponential rate, a rate faster than Moore's law.

One way of creating AI is through imitation. We study and understand the brain and build neural network chips. But why build the system from ground up when we can just hack a already intelligent system, our brain. Evolution has already created a cheap and very efficient system for intelligence. It's far harder to build from ground up.

Once we reach immortality and bio brain upgrades, AI won't be a threat. Humans are inherently selfish; we will spend more efforts on self improvement to stay competitive. The new humans will be the super-intelligent being and our greed is the mechanism for singularity. But that greed could also be hacked.

If a system capable of intelligence is build, why would it make self improvements? or do anything? If a human have absolutely no drive, no sex hormones, no food drive would it think about anything? Is it intelligent?

The intelligent system that we build will be for human's selfish gains and will be used to improve humans. That means humans will improve along side with the system, or humans are part of the system. What's really scary is if the system is build with all the drive and motivation build in...

Those monitoring platforms if they emit any signals they can be detected and destroyed. During the early days of Iraq war, Iraq had a GPS disruption device that floods the wavelength with their own GPS signals. The first thing US did was to send a missile that use disruptor's own signal to track it down and destroy it. Establishing enemy's fog of war would be first priority.

It is very unlikely battle's will occur in open space if both sides knows each other's capability. The side with slight disadvantage will seek to level the playing field by heading towards asteroid field or unmonitored planets.

Once they arrived at the planet, one strategy for the orbital battle field is to go into an extreme elliptical orbit. The more skilled pilot will be able to calculate the opponent's possible orbit and tries to outwit his opponent. As the pilot approach the perigee of the orbit, the cinematographic tense scene panes to the pilot's face as the ship slows to the escape velocity in the upper atmosphere. Only to escape tattered and draught, and approaching the enemy hidden by the planet horizon.