horrified's comments

horrified | 4 years ago | on: July 2021 was the warmest July on record for the globe

A better comparison would be to say "the hottest 10 days were all this July. There seems to be a trend here". Then it would be obvious that it was simply the hottest July, so of course all days were comparatively hot.

Just saying that there could be climate patterns that span more than a year, and "all the hottest Julies where in the last ten years" would be similar to saying "all the hottest days were in the last month".

Not saying it is the case, but also not saying that I automatically believe the fearmongering.

horrified | 4 years ago | on: The American diversity meat grinder

Somehow there is little reaction when white people are being shot, though (or killed in general, like the white guy who died in the same way as Georg Floyd sometime before). I think there is more to it than just accessibility.

horrified | 4 years ago | on: Scanning “private” content

Is Apple's approach even likely to catch any pedophiles? Seems to me at most it would succeed in keeping such photos from Apple devices, which is perhaps good for their public image, but does nothing to catch predators?

It is very public now that Apple will scan for such pictures, so how many pedophiles will keep them on their phones?

horrified | 4 years ago | on: The death of the ‘Millionaire Next Door’ dream

Seems I misremebered it, thanks. I found two different estimates right now, too, one for ~1.6%, one for ~0.4%.

Sometimes real estate the owners live in themselves is not counted?

With 1.6% the odds of having a millionaire neighbor would still be high.

horrified | 4 years ago | on: The death of the ‘Millionaire Next Door’ dream

"If Read suffered from poor health during his working years or required long-term care, his estate would be a fraction of what it was."

So don't bother saving or trying to get rich, because you might become ill and have to spend the money on your health?

The whole article seems weird. What is their point? So 300$/Month is not enough, but 500$ would be? Surely that is something many people could at least aspire to?

I think the poverty discussion often overlooks the fluent nature of the economy. People who have low paying jobs today (say pizza driver) don't necessarily have the same job forever. But new "poor people" (often young people) will enter the market and become pizza drivers.

Should pizza drivers give up all hope and just "live"?

Also afaik the markets had good returns in the long run pretty much always. If it really would not be worthwhile to invest anything anymore, some serious questioning of politics would be in order.

I only recently read "The Millionaire Next Door", and while I didn't really like the writing style, I think it still made some good points.

horrified | 4 years ago | on: The Problem with Ethereum

I would imagine most Ethereum miners are pretty well off by now, so the "working class" analogy is really off.

Also "the ruling class" can not really force their rules on others.

Everybody participating in cryptocoins right now is hopefully aware that it is an experiment with uncertain outcomes. So the "promises were broken" thing doesn't really convince me, either. I don't think the users of Ethereum were promised a finished product.

"Code is law" also only applies if people accept the law. In the DAO case, people decided to change the law, or stick to Ethereum classic.

horrified | 4 years ago | on: Masks Are Back, Maybe for the Long Term

NYT is paywalled, but all articles about it that I have read are a mix of scary anecdotes without statistics ("Johnny was unable to remember his biology lessons" - how often does that happen" and statistics about "x% experience 'such' ongoing symptoms", where "such" is sneakily a mix of severe and non severe symptoms that can be lumped together under "long covid" to make it sound scarier.

Not saying there is no risk, but I wish there were some clearer statistics about it. There should be enough data by now.

I personally think that if there really was a significant risk for kids, it would have been clearly communicated by now.

horrified | 4 years ago | on: After DeepMind’s cofounder was placed on leave for bullying, Google promoted him

I said they felt he is awful. Maybe he felt they are awful, too. It is a thing that happens in human relationships, that people end up disliking each other. We have only heard one side of the story here.

It is a pretty normal thing that people don't get along with each other, for whatever reason. Just because one party goes public and frames the other as a horrible person, doesn't necessarily mean they really are.

If nobody who is disliked by somebody could become boss, there would only be very few candidates left.

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