ithinkinstereo's comments

ithinkinstereo | 6 years ago | on: China to inject $174B of liquidity on Monday as markets reopen

That's true, but my point is that the "Emperor is far away" problems can be found in any type of governing model. Some may limit it, but even then, there are tradeoffs.

One advantage of a centralized top-down system is that when an issue becomes sufficiently prioritized at the top, everyone below falls in line. The primary advantage here is speed and the ability to see through long-term plans. You see this in China's rapid rise in certain industries/technologies, and of course, in their response to the 2019-nCoV epidemic.

> In a localized bottom-up system, politicians advance their career by currying favor with voters by distributing handouts, like farming subsidies, tax cuts or artificially low prices.

I agree with this statement, generally, but there are many exceptions. Speaking only about politicians the US, at a certain level, further career advancement is also very dependent on currying favor with superiors (sometimes, even more so than currying favor with constituents, especially if one has national and not just local ambitions). This is equally true at the national level--see: the internal politicking within the DNC and RNC in terms of fundraising, toeing the party line, etc. to receive endorsement and campaign funds--as it is at the local level--see: "machine" politics like in Chicago, where advancement is equally, if not more, predicated on currying favor with your local party leadership and senior city politicians than it is with voters. Or course, this problem (in the US, at least) might also just be the results of our two-party dominated system, where party-endorsements trumps almost everything else when it comes to getting votes. To your point though, this can be overcome if you curry enough favor with the local voters (Trump himself vis-a-vis the RNC is a good example of this).

ithinkinstereo | 6 years ago | on: China to inject $174B of liquidity on Monday as markets reopen

The comparison to 80s/late-90s USSR is poor. I think this epidemic is showing the opposite, at least in terms of technical competence. The response from the central authorities has been massive and relatively well executed.

The comparison is also off because the day-to-day living situation on the ground (for the average citizen) is totally different from _both_ a political and economic perspective.

ithinkinstereo | 6 years ago | on: Ukraine Boeing with 180 aboard comes down near Tehran

Here’s a NSFW video from twitter of the plane’s supposed last moments:

Footage of Ukrainian flight going down: https://mobile.twitter.com/mehrdadt1987/status/1214756444421...

From PPRune, these are supposedly pics of the crash site: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune.org-vbulletin/1085x464/p...

Debris looks scattered which would indicate an in-flight breakup and would lend credence to the rumors spreading online that the plane was shot down.

Also of note: the plane was delayed by an hour and Tehran had icy conditions this morning. I wonder if the plane was de-iced prior to takeoff, or if it was de-iced, perhaps it wore off by the time it took off?

In any case this is all wild speculation; hopefully better details emerge soon.

This really reminds me of Iran Air 655 that was accidentally shot down by the US in ‘88. I hope this doesn’t lead to any further escalation of current tensions. RIP to all of those onboard.

ithinkinstereo | 6 years ago | on: The voice from our Nest camera threatened to steal our baby

Yes, but that is a pedantic technicality that misses the point. Google markets Nest's ease-of-use and plug-and-play simplicity to non-tech users. That's a critical piece of the product's value proposition: that it just works and you don't have to think too much about it. For user security not to be a major design consideration from the onset seems extremely shortsighted... especially since this is an internet-connected camera that you're placing all over your home. Not thinking about security and privacy implications was Google's first failing. The second failing is its broken culture when it comes to customer support.

ithinkinstereo | 6 years ago | on: Uber lays off around 350 more across Eats, self-driving and other departments

1) No FTE associated taxes (payroll, unemployment, etc.)

2) No FTE associated benefits (health insurance, 401K, etc.)

3) Easier to terminate

4) (Arguably) Can grind harder

Hopefully, some of the recently laid-off employees can get re-hired as 1099-contractors. Sometimes working as a 1099 can actually be more lucrative (sometimes much more) than being a FTE.

ithinkinstereo | 6 years ago | on: The FBI is investigating Mithril Capital for financial misconduct

Not necessarily. Many VCs, hedge funds, etc., have restrictions on redemptions (amounts, timing, etc.).

I think the frustration here with the management fees is that it's out of alignment with the staff size (lots of departures) and operational expenses (recently moved to tax-free Texas, just minimizing costs even further).

ithinkinstereo | 6 years ago | on: The WeWork IPO

During a recession:

Individual contractors and small teams (<10) will likely go back to working from home or out of cafes.

Larger, enterprise teams will have more, and better, options and may cut expenses by downgrading to cheaper accommodations either via less "hip" direct competitors (Regus) or taking on cheap/discounted leases directly.

ithinkinstereo | 6 years ago | on: The Jeffrey Epstein case is why people believe in Pizzagate

I don't think it's that far-fetched.

Visiting sketchy sex-related businesses or doing drugs is pretty par for the course in both Eastern and Western business culture as a form of trust-building between parties.

I can definitely see the level of "sketchiness" increasing as you climb the power ladder.

ithinkinstereo | 7 years ago | on: Work harder or the communists will win

Jason's logic is pretty poor. If winning is just a numbers game (quantity of hours > quality hours), then how can we possibly compete when our population size is a quarter of China's? Of all the consistently inane VC tweets, this one takes the cake.

ithinkinstereo | 7 years ago | on: Uber S-1

Amazon was CF positive and invested it's cash heavily in capital assets (warehouse, etc.). Uber invested (burned) its money on subsidies. Not really a comparable.

ithinkinstereo | 7 years ago | on: Lyft Crashes Below IPO Price

Two things I find interesting about the Lyft story:

1) In their prospectus they claim that 44% of all rides start/end in low-income areas. [a]

2) One of the key arguments they make in their fight against recent NYC regulations to raise the minimum pay for drivers is that raising prices directly leads to a fall in revenue (demand). [b]

So a large % of their users are price-sensitive, but raising prices cuts demand. A difficult path forward for reaching profitability indeed.

[a] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1759509/000119312519...

[b] https://blog.lyft.com/posts/2019/3/16/tlc-rules-impact-on-ly...

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