kolikotime's comments

They do have a very proactive government that deploys experimental technology in highly public pilots. That you doubt it’s not true is purely because it’s an African country.

I perhaps should have qualified this with Sub Saharan Africa. Tunisia and the rest of North Africa might as well culturally be another world.

Awesome news, especially for gaming on the continent. I won't lie, AWS Cape Town is kind of a dream gig for African technologists.

For the past month temps have virtually been in the 60s/70s as it’s their summer/early fall. By Global north standards that’s warm.

New Zealand also is a relatively isolated warm island nation with far less international travel to it than literally the rest of the Western World. So please excuse me with all of the tribute to it for its performance.

Most companies are not going to go fully distributed. Partial remote? Sure. Maybe a few full remote roles set aside for superstars? Sure. But mass distributed remote? Highly unlikely. This experiment hasn’t gone that well.

I think your third point is mostly strong. I see most companies going to partial remote but staying in their current locations. For growth to 2nd/3rd tier cities to dominate we’d need to see stronger job growth there than in major metros, or for near universal remote work. Also with this huge recession most people will be more hesitant to move without a secured job. I think your assertion is correct.

Property prices are definitely already declining in the city, so this could be a smart move as well.

This isn’t any surprise, we will see a swelling of growth in Westchester, Long Island, Southern Connecticut, and Northern New Jersey, especially if partial remote work stays normalised as well. I don’t see a massive exodus out of the metro area, but the suburban share will likely grow.

A sign of the times.

This would be quite spicy to hear.

CRISPR and its various offsprings will grow in technological sophistication and their commercial applications. By the end of the 2020s it will morph into a pressing political issue in the West in terms of its implications for Human biology. Certain East Asian countries will be the trendsetters due to lax governmental regulations and societal acceptance.

On the contrary, I love ports and they are very important. But I find in African policy and business circles we overhype our ports and port cities, and forget that there is a huge world of development that needs to transpire beyond them.

It’s been a hugely busy decade in terms of port modernization in East and West Africa in particular, this report really gets into it if you like reading Port stuff.

http://www.globalconstructionreview.com/sectors/africas-port...

The big issue for many African countries is that their trade flow is still configured to suit colonial trade flows. Port cities situated on the coast optimized to trade outwards, maybe connected by a few roads or a moribund colonial era rail to a resource extractive region in the interior. The issue though is that this prevents intra-regional trade, which is the dominant form of trade for North America as well as Eurasia, and which helps to facilitate viable regional economies.

Infrastructure is the first part of solving this puzzle. In East Africa in particular a lot of focus has been put on creating modernized rail systems, the construction of new modern freeways, and in particular with the EAC(East African Confederation) a strong focus on harmonizing business laws and trade regulations through the region. Movement is also being made on enacting the AFCTA (African Continental Free Trade Agreement) as well, which would construct a continental sized free trade market area, and help to smooth trade between the countries of the continent.

In reflection on the West African examples shown in this article, it reflects on the need for ECOWAS (West Africa's form of the EU) to move forward on becoming a serious supranational organization that gets tougher on business harmonization and regional economic integration. It has done exceptionally well on ensuring that freedom of movement is possible between the 15 states within its union but has stagnated since then. It is in great danger of staying a bored lame talking shop of corrupt enfeebled bureaucrats who ignore corrupt governments and repression, and do nothing to foster actual growth.

I am quite optimistic of the future though on the whole. The whole continent won't lift off, but enough countries are on the right trajectories towards becoming middle income countries.

Wide ranging restrictions such as these are being tactically applied throughout the world. Germany and France enacted similar policies last year. As Ian Hogarth sketched out last year, we're entering an era in which AI becomes part and parcel of a country's geopolitics, an era of AI Nationalism so to speak.

Hogarth expressed the opinion that Google's purchase of DeepMind(A UK based company initially) is going to be seen increasingly in the future as an amazing coup, a unit with some of the world's greatest minds on Deep learning allowed to be sold to a foreign conglomerate. I have to say as time goes by and governments realize how strategic their AI community is, I agree.

It is to my understanding that China was a relative latecomer to the World Bank and has never been a particularly heavy lender from the bank or the IMF, not to the extent that African states were subjected to. And furthermore while China did follow certain strains of the orthodoxy, it retained heavy state control and influence over many sectors and industries, something very few African states were able to retain following the Washington Consensus.

African states on the other hand, about 40 states in the 1980s underwent what we would call Structural Adjustment programs. State owned enterprises were sold, huge slashing cuts were made to education and healthcare(This in part decimated Nigeria's regional class university system), and various legal reforms for the benefit of Western investors. The results of those experiments were generally failed and led to a disastrous late 1980s and 1990s on the continent.

In terms of a country that implemented many of those reforms and failed to get that far. I would say both Ghana and Tanzania are pertinent examples. Ghana has implemented about three to four rounds of IMF engagement since the 1980s and is hailed regionally for its rule of law and stable political and investment climate, it still only has a GDP per capita of $1,641. Then you have Tanzania which since the 1980s has largely abandoned state socialism and embraced a mixed market economy, its GDP per capita? a whopping $936.

This seems as if its pointed at me. I will say that I find it sad that modern discourse has reached such a sad state that we suspect everyone who has a nonconformist opinion of being a bot/robot/astroturfer.

All I will say is that I am no lover of China. Chinese civilization, like Western civilization has exhibited anti-black tendencies and attitudes. The Chinese are great lovers of African markets, but not African people.

I do encourage you though to try to understand the African perspective on this issue, as well as other related issues that you may not generally understand before you try to characterize it as propaganda. Modern Africa is in a state of flux and deeply in need of infrastructure. There are many who say there are heavy costs to Chinese built infrastructure in Africa, Those same analysts will not reflect on the severe costs currently to Africa of its lack of infrastructures. The absence of intra-regional rail, highways, of connected electricity grids, of pipes and pipelines. If the West is truly concerned about African welfare, they can always step to the fore with their own expansive infrastructure agenda, but they largely won't, and we all know the reason why.

I would love a wonderful world in which France generally supported democratic leaders and encouraged democratization. Such a world would likely prove the death knell of Francafrique. But it is a complete falsehood that France has that vision, it still supports scores of tyrants in the region, and has looked past the way quite a number of times in the last three years alone.

You seem to think this is still “colonial history”. It is very much still modern history.

Certain countries are more open to this than others. It'd be tricky to start such a business in West Africa but Kenya in particular is a big tech hub which has quite many Western expats playing a role in it. Kenya would be my pick for where you could do something like that and not be seen as weird/not welcomed.

In other African countries the racial context would prevent it (Southern African countries) or they're more protectionist(Anglophone West African states).

I could also see Uganda and Rwanda also being quite welcoming of such an effort as they're making big moves on trying to grow their tech sectors. The latter two are repressive dictatorships though politically. Economically and socially however the people are largely free. Kenya by comparison is a deeply messy and perhaps perpetually corrupt democracy.

It would be hard to quantify, what we can say is that China focuses more on hard infrastructure, which African countries have a huge lack of capacity of, and which the West has't really focused on development wise since the 1970s.

America excels more traditionally on capacity("soft" work to do with say governance, healthcare, NGOs, and also committed through the IMF/World Bank).