macemoneta's comments

macemoneta | 15 years ago | on: Are Solid State Drives Worth the Money?

Which is at odds with the (correct) definition of MTTF as a rate-based calculation:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failure_rate

The person that wrote the Wikipedia article you referenced read the same mythology you did; repeating it doesn't make it true. The plural of anecdote is not fact.

Think about it yourself for a moment. If two cars are traveling 50mph, does that make their average speed 25mph (50/2)? Applying a divisor to a failure rate based on the number of devices is nonsensical.

macemoneta | 15 years ago | on: Are Solid State Drives Worth the Money?

Your statement was:

"A RAID0 over three disks has about 1/3 the MTBF of a single disk."

This is incorrect, the MTTF and MTBF are not significantly changed. Assuming you meant failure probability, my issue with the probability variance is the linear relationship you imply.

If the variation were linear, a RAID array composed of drives with a 5% failure probability would reach certainty of failure (1.00 probability) within the interval at 20 drives. In actuality, it takes 225 drives to reach that probability.

The difference is a real world consideration for capacity management. What it means is that RAID0 arrays are not as failure prone as people think they are.

macemoneta | 15 years ago | on: Gmail adds video chat for Linux

Yeah, a closed source application installed as root, with the express purpose of accessing your webcam and microphone. What could go wrong?

macemoneta | 15 years ago | on: Are Solid State Drives Worth the Money?

While the probability of failure is nearly a function of the number of drives, the MTBF/MTTF calculations do not work that way.

For example, if there were a probability of 5% that the disk would fail within three years, in a three disk RAID0 array, that probability of failure would be:

P=(1-(1-.05)^3)=.14263

In other words, 14.3% probability of failure within three years. That doesn't mean it will fail in that time frame. It means if you have a large population of that configuration, that is the rate you would be dealing with for drive replacement planning.

The MTBF and MTTF calculations apply to populations of drives (e.g. a given model) not to a given drive. The values provide no predictability for the failure of any specific drive. Using the values for that purpose is a common misapplication. A drive with a MTTF of 1,000,000 power-on hours can fail in 15 minutes or never during its useful life.

As a result, a three drive array will have a higher probability of failure over a given interval, but the MTTF/MTBF of the drives is essentially unchanged.

Think of it this way... The probability of winning the lottery is one in 20,000,000. The probability that someone (anyone) will win the lottery in a given week may be one out of ten - 10%. In other words, some person wins the lottery, on average, one time in ten weeks. That doesn't mean that your probability of winning the lottery is 10%. It also doesn't mean that the average probability of winning the lottery is 10%. It also doesn't change the probability of winning the lottery; it's still one in 20,000,000, even if three people win in a 10 week interval.

macemoneta | 15 years ago | on: Are Solid State Drives Worth the Money?

You'll probably find this interesting reading on the internal architecture of SSDs:

     http://www.denali.com/wordpress/index.php/dmr/2010/02/02/ssd-interfaces-and-performance-effects
Also, while RAID0 reduces the MTBF, it's not linear. Drive life is not magically shortened as a result of the drive being in a RAID array (if you take care to isolate synchronous vibration). The life of the array is equal to the shortest drive life. In other words, if a drive would have failed after 25,000 hours in standalone operation, it will still fail in 25,000 hours in an array. The other drives may run to 100,000 hours, but it's a "weakest link" failure mode.

macemoneta | 15 years ago | on: Are Solid State Drives Worth the Money?

I back up several times a day, automatically. I've run RAID arrays for years with no problems, but all drives eventually fail. An SSD is internally a RAID0 that can be up to 16 wide (that's how they get their performance). Used and managed properly (including proper backup and recovery), RAID0 works very well with good quality drives. If you have noise problems, then you likely have vibration issues that will shorten the life of your drives. I use anti-vibration mounts for all hard drives, and I hear my (quiet, anti-vibration mounted) fans more than I hear my drives. I also spin down the backup drives when they are not in use, so they add no additional noise.

macemoneta | 15 years ago | on: Are Solid State Drives Worth the Money?

It really depends on the platform and requirements.

On a desktop, a three-drive RAID0 provides about the same performance, and gives you nearly 40x the storage for a given price-point.

On a mobile platform the physical space, vibration/motion, and power constraints coupled with the increased performance may make SSDs worthwhile.

macemoneta | 15 years ago | on: Oracle sues Google over use of Java in Android

As background, from WikiPedia:

"On November 13, 2006, Sun released much of Java as open source software under the terms of the GNU General Public License (GPL). On May 8, 2007, Sun finished the process, making all of Java's core code available under free software/open-source distribution terms, aside from a small portion of code to which Sun did not hold the copyright."

If Sun willingly made the code GPL licensed, and Google isn't using anything outside the GPL code, even if some of the technologies were covered by patents I don't see Oracle having a case. Right now, this sounds very much like the SCO - Linux suit that dragged on forever and went nowhere.

macemoneta | 15 years ago | on: Apple Loved You Pro Users; Loves Your Money More, Now

I actually have no problem with Apple's prices. People don't buy a Rolls-Royce because it's a car, they buy it because it's a Rolls-Royce. Comparing the purchase price or mpg to a Toyota Camry is missing the point.

I build my own machines, and don't buy Apple products. However, I see nothing wrong with charging what the market will bear for an upscale product.

macemoneta | 15 years ago | on: Piracy isn't cool: Another "industry" under threat.

Why does everyone forget that copyrighted content can be shared if the license allows it? Copyright does not automatically prohibit sharing.

   http://creativecommons.org/about/
   http://www.opensource.org/licenses/alphabetical
The real problem is that content creators frequently don't make finding the license easy - if they even use one.
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