matthest's comments

matthest | 12 hours ago | on: OpenClaw's ChatGPT moment sparks concern that AI models are becoming commodities

Note that this is CNBC and they're writing from a stock market line-go-up POV.

For everyone else, this is good news.

From the article:

"Huang was validating what the rest of the market has been witnessing. An independent developer, rather than a giant, richly valued lab like OpenAI or Anthropic, came up with the next big thing in AI and, in doing so, exposed a potential major flaw in the investment thesis behind the large language models: They may be getting commoditized."

matthest | 5 days ago | on: US Job Market Visualizer

Eh, buying and holding the S&P 500 (the Vanguard Bogleheads strategy) has allowed a lot of people to retire early.

matthest | 5 days ago | on: US Job Market Visualizer

Definitionally the 1% is people making ~$800k+ a year.

Upper-middle class is people making ~$200k/year.

A lot of people have moved from middle class to upper middle class over the last decade. Both those categories are outside the 1%.

matthest | 5 days ago | on: US Job Market Visualizer

The study doesn't say it went into the 1%'s pockets. It says it went to 2 places:

1) The salaries of corporate employees 2) Shareholders and capital owners

Regarding number 2: "Shareholders" would include anyone who owns any stock at all, including a lot of middle class people with a simple S&P 500 ETF in their portfolio.

And the increase in productivity allowed more people to become capital owners, AKA entrepreneurs. The explosion in software entrepreneurs, for example.

matthest | 15 days ago | on: Labor market impacts of AI: A new measure and early evidence

From this angle, what's the difference between Meta and a junk food company?

Both sell things that are bad for you, but that the consumer has complete control over whether or not to consume.

And not all of what Meta is selling is bad. There's a lot of information exchanged on Facebook, Instagram, etc. that are good for society. Like health/nutrition advice, etc.

matthest | 7 months ago | on: GPT-5

Best case scenario is that AI makes it so everyone can be a 1-man CEO. Competition goes up across the board, which then brings prices down.

matthest | 9 months ago | on: Longevity Is Now a Factor When Picking an Embryo for IVF

I would argue this has more or less been the case for most of history, in a different form.

It used to be that most people died young. If your genes weren't strong enough, disease would've knocked you out before you became a teenager.

It's only relatively recently that we've made it possible for people of all genetic types to survive into adulthood.

matthest | 9 months ago | on: The ‘white-collar bloodbath’ is all part of the AI hype machine

Does anyone else think the fact that companies hire superfluous employees (i.e. bullshit jobs) is actually fantastic?

Because they don't have to do that. They could just operate at max efficiency all the time.

Instead, they spread the wealth a bit by having bullshit jobs, even if the existence of these jobs is dependent on the market cycle.

matthest | 11 months ago | on: Google is illegally monopolizing online advertising tech, judge rules

First, let me say I'm glad the FTC is going after monopolies. True capitalism requires competition, not massive corporations.

That said, I feel like going after Big Tech is a massive misuse of resources. Not because it's not a monopoly (it is), but because there's a far more important monopoly that should be broken up: healthcare insurance.

Something like 7 corporations dominate 70% of the healthcare insurance market. The AMA had a study last year that concluded these insurance companies are charging monopoly pricing.

This is why Americans are paying astronomical prices for healthcare.

This is IMO by far the most pressing issue. Yet the FTC is seemingly spending all its time going after Big Tech, which has a comparatively lower impact on the quality of everyday Americans' lives.

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