philrapo | 9 years ago
philrapo's comments
philrapo | 9 years ago | on: The Hotel Industry’s Plan to Combat Airbnb
[0] https://www.airbnb.com/help/article/653/in-what-areas-is-occ...
philrapo | 9 years ago | on: Tesla Announces $2B Public Offering to Accelerate Model 3 Ramp Up
"Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision."
(I put this in the reply to a child, but I felt it was relevant enough to reply directly to the parent.)
philrapo | 9 years ago | on: Tesla Announces $2B Public Offering to Accelerate Model 3 Ramp Up
Further, Goldman conducted a secondary share offering for Tesla as recently as summer 2015, so it was exceedingly obvious to anyone who makes investment decisions based on the research that this conflict exists.
I have worked at several wall street firms and also worked for firms in silicon valley, and I frankly noticed more numerous and blatant conflict of interest situations in silicon valley.
EDIT/UPDATE: Prominently displayed in large font on page 1 of the Goldman research report on Tesla:
"Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision."
philrapo | 9 years ago | on: Tech Startups Come Up with Some Creative Definitions for ‘Profitable’
I think this is why regulators are concerned about the steep drop in "startups" going public. You have these huge companies with enormous valuations, and they arent subject to the disclosure and reporting requirements that regulators have designed for public companies...
The most ridiculous recent example was Morgan Stanley marketing Uber to high net worth individuals. [0] Potential investors were not even allowed to see the financials! You just had to take Morgan Stanley's word for it that the valuation was "reasonable".
[0] http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-14/here-s-wha...
philrapo | 9 years ago | on: The NYPD Was Ticketing Legally Parked Cars; Open Data Put an End to It
I live in NYC. Parking here is so expensive that paying for a parking ticket (if you happen to get caught parking illegally) is cheaper than paying for the parking garage!
A monthly parking garage in my neighborhood (west village, manhattan) can cost $700-800. Parking on the street is not a perfect substitute, but I can get 10-12 parking tickets a month before the cost of parking illegally exceeds the cost of paying for garage space!
philrapo | 9 years ago
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: San Francisco Home Prices Fell for the First Time in Four Years in March
As long as you can make your monthly payments, you'll never be forced to sell.
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: Startup funding is slowing in San Francisco
https://hbr.org/2014/04/how-old-are-silicon-valleys-top-foun...
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: Goldman Sachs Finally Admits It Defrauded Investors During the Financial Crisis
1) Act as advisors in financial transactions. You expect them to have your best interest in mind here. That's the core reason you are paying them -- to give you good advice and look out for you.
2) Act as brokers when you want to buy or sell something. Sometimes it's hard to find buyers or sellers for your particular transaction. Imagine trying to sell a hotel... or a 10% stake in Tesla... or a few million barrels of oil. You might not know anyone who has interest in that, but you still want to buy or sell. An investment bank can help broker a transaction. In this case, you're (implicitly or expicitly) paying for liquidity, i.e. access to their relationships with buyers and sellers around the world. The service being provided is arranging a buyer(seller) for your transaction. (The service is not about providing advice in your best interest).
There are certainly examples of shady dealings in role #1 above.
But in role #2, a customer of an investment bank generally understands that the service is matching buyers/sellers, and you don't rely on the investment bank to do your diligence. You're not paying for advice in this case.
It's like if your real estate agent was representing both the buyer and the seller, and you know they get compensated only if a transaction occurs. of course you expect that they are doing everything in their power to get everyone to transact.
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: Uber says it gave U.S. agencies data on more than 12M users
This statement is likely a warrant canary:
philrapo | 10 years ago
philrapo | 10 years ago
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: Amazon Echo Dot
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: On Google's self-driving car acident rates
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: The Risk of a Billion-Dollar Valuation in Silicon Valley
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: The Risk of a Billion-Dollar Valuation in Silicon Valley
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: The Risk of a Billion-Dollar Valuation in Silicon Valley
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: The Risk of a Billion-Dollar Valuation in Silicon Valley
e.g. 1,000 total shares. You can buy 10% (100 shares) for $10mm with 2x liquidation preference included.
Now say I remove the liquidation preference. Your valuation model doesn't change? Mine certainly does. I'd value the shares lower, causing a lower company valuation for the 10% of the company that's changing hands.
>The reason there are $1B+ valuations is primarily because the VCs believe the ventures will come to dominate major areas of commerce, will typically go public with sky-high valuations, and will continue to grow and dominate even after all that. Investing $100M at $1B valuation is risky but pays hugely if the company later becomes valued at $100B+.
It pays hugely even in a down round with liquidation prefs. I'd invest $100mm at a $1bn valuation with 2x liquidation preference, even if I thought the monetization event would occur at a $300mm valuation (down -70%). I'd still get paid out $200mm for a +100% return. If I didnt have the liquidation preference, I would've lost -70%.
philrapo | 10 years ago | on: Bitcoin Payment Processor BitPay Loses $1.8M in Phishing Hack
I think a lot of the arm waving about airbnb is because of the latter situation. I don't think many people seem to have issues with renting out a spare room.