pyrex41
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7 years ago
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on: Kelly Criterion (2007)
And, given need to allow for errors in estimation and eventual deterioration of many alpha-generating strategies, adjusting investment fraction downward (a sort Bayesian prior, I suppose) is sensible on its own, sans vol sensitivity considerations.
pyrex41
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7 years ago
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on: Kelly Criterion (2007)
This is also an argument for finding investments that allow you to better define the downside risk of investments. I think that this is why static investments or hedges have such value; they may not change the expected value, they might even reduce it (based on mean estimates), but they reduce / eliminate the estimation error in your downside risk, allowing you a much more certain calculation of leverage.