Ask HN: What do Russians on HN think about this war?
What is your perspective on what's happening? What are you seeing and hearing from your family and friends in Russia?
My deepest sympathy goes out to everyone affected by this tragedy. <3
What is your perspective on what's happening? What are you seeing and hearing from your family and friends in Russia?
My deepest sympathy goes out to everyone affected by this tragedy. <3
[+] [-] ainzzorl|4 years ago|reply
This is an absolute disaster for us. I can't imagine how and when we recover from this. The damage already made to our country is going to be devastating, and it's not even over yet. I even envy Ukrainians a little because they have a future (if they survive all this of course), and we don't.
Most people in my bubble, including myself, are strongly against the war. Many are fleeing the country. I'm currently on vacation abroad, and I haven't made up my mind if I'm coming back.
SWEs like myself probably are going to be the least affected by this because most of us can work for foreign companies just fine and make decent money, but most other people don't have this privilege and have nowhere to run. Generations of people are doomed to live in poverty because of decisions made by our genius of geopolitics. The old man actually thought we would win this war in 3 days and get away with it. I don't think he has a plan B. And I take his threats of using nuclear weapons very seriously.
While I blame Putin for most of this, I also think the collective West has gone mad too. The campaign to cancel, ban, boycott and belittle everything and everyone that has anything to do with Russia is out of control. People are not to blame for the actions their government. The talks like "let's hurt the regular people so they revolt against Putin" are just like that villain from Shrek: "Some of you may die, but it's a sacrifice I am willing to make".
[+] [-] rafaelm|4 years ago|reply
As someone that comes from a sanctioned country, this is one important thing that most people that have never lived a similar situation don't understand:
-When you live in an authoritarian regime, you don't just "revolt" and topple the autocrat. In our case, it has cost a LOT of innocent lives in the streets protesting. Autocrats don't mind killing as many of their own citizens as they have to, to stay in power.
-The sanctions are usually paid for by the population. In our case, while the sanctions were certainly "inconvenient" to the government, most of the effects where on the regular people. Government cronies have no problem getting food, gasoline, etc. This then gives the autocrat the excuse: "Look, it's them causing this. I'm here to defend you from the bad imperialist sanctions.
Now, I'm not saying I know what the solution is, and I certainly get a lot of satisfaction in seeing that my local autocrats cannot travel freely with their ill-gotten gains and seeing yachts being confiscated all over the world. But it's my opinion that most of the time, sanctions affect a population that has very little power to do something about the situation.
That being said, in Russia's case, being very heavily constrained economically does throw a spanner in the gears of the war machine. Not sure how it's going to play out, but I bet Putin would rather see his people starve first before limiting the military funding of this.
[+] [-] NicoJuicy|4 years ago|reply
I understand your viewpoint and don't take it lightly.
But at this point, I don't see an alternative anymore, except putting feet on the ground. Which would make the whole situation worse.
---
Note: a collegue of mine has a Russian wife and I asked if she was okay. She didn't encounter any hostilities and I was happy about that. Since it seemed plausible to me that some would/could.
She is, since recently, collecting funds for helping people in Ukraine.
[+] [-] throwaway2845|4 years ago|reply
Russian indifference is solely to blame. You care now that it hurts you, but the years of support to dictatorships abroad, from Cuba to Syria, the invasion of Georgia, Chechen. You didn't care about any of that.
[+] [-] justin66|4 years ago|reply
It is small consolation in light of the enormity of everything that is going on, but I think the Russian public has earned some respect from the rest of the world in the last several days. We see that something like five thousand people were arrested during protests against the invasion in one day alone.
I have no idea how any of that will translate into action. Things are crazy right now.
[+] [-] berelig|4 years ago|reply
Surely you see that in this analogy it is Putin who is the villain (Lord Farquaad)?
[+] [-] w0de0|4 years ago|reply
Few wish to hear that “people aren’t to blame for their governments” while Ukrainians die for precisely their right to have such responsibility.
Moreover one may destroy a war machine by ruthlessly starving the economy which funds it. The prosperity of Russians correlates to the Russian army’s ability to make war.
[+] [-] unknown|4 years ago|reply
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[+] [-] gaws|4 years ago|reply
These are the same people who elect incompetent leaders to power and allowed them to seize control indefinitely. The people share some responsibility in this.
[+] [-] evgeniysharapov|4 years ago|reply
- closing and isolating from West is a good thing - no bad influence and we will keep things, s.a. modernism, liberalism, libertine behavior, e.g. homosexuality and transgenderism away.
- closing foreign markets will boost Russian production and development by keeping all the resources and investments inside and protecting domestic market from unfair competition (e.g. agro subsidies)
- closing travel and foreign countries and markets will keep people inside and by extension will EQUALIZE everyone. Essentially, now there's no rich and poor and everyone is sort of equally poor. Remember, that few folks, s.a. oligarchs, various celebs with their conspicuous consumption are eternal target of people's hate.
- There's no freedom and liberty, all west are hypocrites and they always wanted to subjugate us via harsh force or through soft force. Note, that the western (btw, Australia and New Zealand are considered western in this paradigm) governments forcing vaccinations/masks/lockdowns are used against western governments claim that they are for freedom and liberty.
[+] [-] 52-6F-62|4 years ago|reply
It’s pitiable.
Also I find it rather odd, because having studied Russian literature when I was younger I always got a sense that the Russian people had earned enlightenment and a resilient, if sometimes morose, philosophy that sees life as fundamentally good, but filled with challenges introduced by those who lack such a grounded perception. An inextinguishable light persisting against imposing darkness.
This whole of current events and current outlooks I’m hearing about sounds nothing like that. It’s all darkness.
[+] [-] perilunar|4 years ago|reply
Australia and New Zealand are definitely part of 'the West' by any reasonable definition.
[+] [-] TrapLord_Rhodo|4 years ago|reply
We laughed, we joked but at the end of the day we knew our bossees thought eachother enemies. And at the end of the day we knew that we were activeely working to kill eachother.
That didn't seem to bother us. Alot of people in the military believe what the world has taught us not to believe... That we are the greatest nation in the world and use of force is the only thing that is tangible and real in this world. You're right to Life liberty and property is an illusion and at any point i can kill you and take what you've worked hard for to save. Is it Moral? Yes, because it's real life. The only Amoral things in reality is these illusions that morality exist.
Asking what the russians think isn't the right question. The right question is what percentage of nationalist exist in russia. Because i can tell you one thing, Nationalists believe in this war to their core.
The weak don't deserve the products of their labor if they can't defend it. We've seen this as a fact of life since life has been a fact.
Good Luck Comrades, but one day i will have to kill you for your virtuos beliefs.
[+] [-] jiffygist|4 years ago|reply
[+] [-] runjake|4 years ago|reply
A pacifist gets to live their pacifist lives, because they are kept safe by those who would inflict violence upon those who would threaten society.
[+] [-] trinsic2|4 years ago|reply
[+] [-] gimboland|4 years ago|reply
Amazing how "may not be able to retain" collapses down to "do not deserve" here.
[+] [-] omdv|4 years ago|reply
My strong believe is that there is pretty high support of Putin in Russia, especially around mainstream population, I'd estimate at least 40-50%. This is related to 20+ years of propaganda and phantom pains of USSR collapse. West people should not be delusional. Of course it is also not black and white - not liking West in general is one thing, supporting Putin's war is another.
Finally, I hope you realize that by asking here you will get a _very_ distorted view.
[+] [-] 52-6F-62|4 years ago|reply
https://mobile.twitter.com/guychazan/status/1500543700295987...
https://mobile.twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/15004953095957...
[+] [-] brodouevencode|4 years ago|reply
This cannot be overstated. It's hard to know what and who to believe anymore.
[+] [-] vogre|4 years ago|reply
First, it's been a shock for all the society. No one would imagine in a worst dream that this attack would happen. Even when Putin made his speech about acceptance of LNR/DNR we were like "phew, another shitty fake politics, nothing really changes".
But then the war started. And no one expected that! I think, even military or economic ministers didn't expect that. People are in the shock.
First, it's been incredibly painful to watch our beloved friends in Ukraine are suffering, fleeing the country and turning to be our enemies forever. Almost every Russian have some relative or friend in Ukraine, and now these bonds are broken forever. It's very very painful! The fact that the source of suffering is your country doubles the weight.
Second, there is an information attack "Every Russian is to shame", which targets even those who fleed the country seeking the asylum from Putin. It feels very dehumanizing and racist actually. When I opened facebook there was some ads with corpses of Russian soldiers, and FB moderation was okay with it. Now Facebook is blocked(which is actually good thing, it doesn't help, only melt people's minds).
Most people in Russia are very poor, and don't read facebook/watch youtube. They see the beautiful TV picture of brave Russian forces fighting Ukrainian nazis, without resistance from ordinary people. So this facebook war is only doing harm to educated class which doesn't have political power anyway. The news about oligarchs who lost their yachts can only give Putin additional support.
Third, of course, it's very scary. We may die from nuclear war. We can end up in some North Korea/Iran scenario and never see Europe again. Businesses are falling, Europe connections are cut one by one. Russian people are used to some bad times, but I've never seen events unfolding so fast and so tragic and unpredictable.
There is a lot of propaganda from both of sides, lot of fakes, and infowar is melting our brains. Some people are panicking and try to move to Georgia/Armenia. Some are just preparing for bad days trying to hold on and help their families. Some people are happy with their TV picture. Most of people are just trying to hold as much as they can - work, prepare for growing season, save their businesses. We don't have illusions that life will just go on after the war is over.
The future is very unclear, but everyone I know just want this war to be over as soon as possible and with as low casualties as still possible and then work hard to deal with consequences.
[+] [-] vertis|4 years ago|reply
There is definitely collateral damage happening for "Russians" that are not in Russia (and Belarusians). Belarus is a good example of where we've already forgotten that they voted to remove Lukaschenko and then were violently repressed because of it.
It's one thing to throw red paint at the Embassy, which is an official part of the Russian government. It's quite another to damage a shop that is "Russian" (I believe the picture I saw of this was in Germany, but I can't find it now because there is such a volume of content flowing with regard to Ukraine).
The other thing that seems to come up constantly is that it's the Russian peoples fault regardless (for not removing Putin, etc). Mostly I suspect people that live in Western democracies and have never had to fear anything.
I'm personally in favour, I think, of helping anyone that wants to leave Russia, to leave. Treating them as refugees from Putin, albiet in not quite as high risk as those in Ukraine.
If there is a brain drain out of Russia, that's a good thing until change happens.
[+] [-] zepearl|4 years ago|reply
I never understood that part of the propaganda:
to free a nation from nazis who elected a jewish president??? ("Zelenskyy is the first Jewish President of Ukraine..." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volodymyr_Zelenskyy )
Sounds completely crazy to me?
I'm assuming that Ukraine's president's religion is known to Russians (as apparently russians and ukrainians are very near/related to each other etc..., stated by the propaganda itself), how can that propaganda (and therefore as well the other related propaganda) not fall apart on its own, to still be accepted by the population? I totally don't get it... .
Good luck and thanks a lot for your post!!! :)))
[+] [-] fgcoppola|4 years ago|reply
[+] [-] mihaigalos|4 years ago|reply
It is absolutely shameful what happened in Ukraine. I think there is a lot of suffering, especially for ukrainians, but also for russians who lost sons or friends in this war.
I don't think it will end soon. As you said, it will drag on and will need at least a generation for the wounds to heal.
[+] [-] crownvic|4 years ago|reply
The local and nationwide TV states that they found 30 Pentagon-funded biowarfare labs in Ukraine, got all the docs, and are preparing some statements for the West.
Obviously, high-level propaganda flows from Russia and the West both. I suspect the truth is somewhere in the middle.
And if you take a look at videos from Feb, people in the Eastern part of Ukraine don't mind the Russian army there, even wave and show high-fives. My highly incorrect calculations suggest that about 80% of people in Eastern Ukraine support Russia. In the middle part, that figure is maybe 30-40%, and in Western Ukraine near zero.
I have a niece in the middle part (near Cherkasy). It's okay there, and no battles are incoming. So, she doesn't understand what to expect, doesn't support all this clusterfug, but doesn't support the Ukrainian government either.
[+] [-] orangepurple|4 years ago|reply
This could explain the normalization of the openly Nazi Azov Battalion. Another commenter here last week pointed out that 30-50% of the regular Ukranian army may sympathize with Russia so the ultra nationalist Azov Battalion became an official military unit since they are die-hard Ukranian loyalists.
[+] [-] ant6n|4 years ago|reply
If you believe “the truth is somewhere in the middle”, then Putins propaganda machine is working very well on you even though you don’t actually believe it.
[+] [-] marius_k|4 years ago|reply
That just does not make any sense to me. Why should those labs be somewhere in Ukraine rather than in US?
[+] [-] Dah00n|4 years ago|reply
[+] [-] harel|4 years ago|reply
[+] [-] unknown|4 years ago|reply
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[+] [-] mint2|4 years ago|reply
If you believe they are accurate youbcan use a throwaway to explain why your view that mass bombing of civilians by Russia is partially nato’s fault.
If the views aren’t something like that, then why hesitate to post?
[+] [-] kahrl|4 years ago|reply
[+] [-] m_ke|4 years ago|reply
[+] [-] soared|4 years ago|reply
From what I can tell the users are not at all fans of the sanctions, think they will not motivate the general population, and expect many us business to sell to intermediaries who will sell to Russia.
It may be the translations, but it reminds me of political forums where the article is about x, but the top comment is about other hot political topic y.
But also this comment is at the top of a thread of Russia’s self imposed sanctions:
>The government hammers a new nail into the coffin of the Russian economy every day.
[+] [-] LichenStone|4 years ago|reply
[+] [-] axg11|4 years ago|reply
There is a lot of propaganda flying out on both sides. I think the West/NATO's next steps should carefully consider the true level of support for these actions within Russia. If there is already a modest level of support (e.g. > 25%) then actions such as sanctions and supply of lethal aid could lead to growing support for the conflict within Russia and further escalation.
[+] [-] mminer237|4 years ago|reply
[+] [-] jakobdabo|4 years ago|reply
I tried to translate using OCR, and the first chart's data points are answers to the question to what is the role of Russia in the conflict: "Aggressor", "Freedom", "Peacekeeping", "Don't know".
Note, that it's based on an online poll (so not including TV-watchers-only people), but AFAIK they made sure that the people who are being polled are in different age and demographic groups.
[+] [-] seina|4 years ago|reply
tldr: huge support among older population
This is according to two pro-government pollsters, but they also link to one independent poll that seem to confirm the findings so far. Meduza is probably largest remaining opposition russian media.
[+] [-] justsomehnguy|4 years ago|reply
...when it bears up to 15 years in jail for treason?
Given how the Russian government operates - just look for the amount of arrests [0]
[0] https://ovd.news/news/2022/03/06/spiski-zaderzhannyh-v-svyaz...
[+] [-] LordNight|4 years ago|reply
1. Absolutely no one expected an actual war with Ukraine. When the first news in english press were published (in November I think) about the coming war between Russia and Ukraine, everyone I know just simply dissmised the very idea of it. It seemed absurd, unthinkable. I did not believe there was any possibility of the war whatsoever and so were my friends, my colleagues, my parents, the ukranians I know. The news became a common joke, a meme even. So when I woke up Feb. 24th and opened the internet, I was stunned, appaled and absolutely embarrased on top of it. I've never read or heard that it is possible to feel enormous embarrassment about the delcaration of war, but it was the strongest feeling in me at the time (and reading various russian sites - not just in me). Despite various disagreements between the Russian and Ukrainian governments, the news about war seemed bizarre. It would be similiar to waking up one day and reading that US Navy are blockading Liverpool and Bristol, US Airforce are bombing London and Manchester, and US Marines are storming Brighton and Southampton. Absolutely surreal. It took a full week for this feeling to slowly fade away before I regained my ability to think straight; I just couldn't work or do anything productive during that time, I was glued to the news and even more news. My father still haven't recovered - he lost all appetite, doesn't talk with anyone and overall extremely depressed.
2. Reading various russian sites - the first reaction was very negative and almost no one supported the war as it happened. After the first 3-4 days the opinions started to change. People started to mentally cope with the news and invent various rationalizations in favour of war - nobody like to be a "baddie" or feel like one. So the opinion is slowly swaying towards the side that claims that the war is justified. That said, I believe even the official russian TV-propaganda were shocked and didn't know what to do or say at first - it took them several days to find the right groove. Propaganda-wise, there was zere preparation of the population for the coming war. The main downside of constantly manupulating statistics is that it is impossible to know which numbers are genuine and which aren't. It could really be that 70% of russians are supporting the war. Or it could be 50%. Or 30%. Or 99%. There is no way to know for sure.
3. On top of that no one really knows or understands what is it exactly that our army are fighting for, what are our end-goals and, especially, what exactly will happen if Ukrainian government will refuse to sign a peace treaty and deside to fight till the end. "Demilitarization" and "denazification' are extremely abstract goals with no clear purpose. There was (and still is) a strong emphasis that the russian army will not target civilian buildings and infrastructure (and soldiers are genuinly reluctant to do so). But it is plain to see now, that this goal is impossible to achieve in the modern war. So what do we do? Do we start to level Kiev and other cities to the ground? Do we march on Lviv? Just what is the plan? Nobody knows.
4. As for the future - right now I am genuinely more worried about the Ukranians than about Russia. I have friends in Sumy who are now almost two weeks under siege, and who knows how long it will last. The Ukraine itself is suffering an enourmous damage to it's infrastructure - how and when and with what funds it will be restored I have no idea. On top of that it looks like there will be at least 5.000.000 refugees (and probably much much more) - their fate is also unclear, I don't think EU can adequately deal with such a large number. In comparision the devaluation of the ruble doesn't seem as important. It looks like there are three main fears: 1) a large scale unemployment - a lot of businesses are leaving Russia, producing an enormous chain reaction; 2) lack of essential medicine - a lot of drugs are imported from the EU (Germany in particular); 3) complete default of the state - a lot of people have lived through the 90s (which in Russia were somewhat equivalent to the Great Depression in USA), so a certain level of impoverishment and hardship are ok, we are used to it, but a complete bancrupcy will be catastrophic. I don't believe there is any chance for an actual famine. The rest isn't so important in comparison.
5. It is also important to understand, that even in an unjust war it is impossible not to support and sympathize with your army. Wishing death and defeat to your own soldiers just isn't right and would feel dirty.
[+] [-] throwaway_9357|4 years ago|reply
Most disgusted with EU/US, followed by Ukrainian government and finally by the Russian Government.
A war does not happen for no reason. Putin is a known to be a rational actor. Obviously ordinary people do not want war. So you have to ask yourself, what events led to the war? What was done to prevent it? What is done to stop it now?
Why am I disgusted with US/EU? Firstly the double standards make me sick. I am not going to go further into this to avoid buTwHatAbout. The cancellation of everything Russian, the message that every Russian is responsible and statements that they want to choke the Russian economy makes me and my people feel hated. This is accepted xenophobia.
Secondly Russia has been clear since 2008 that it would rather go to war than let Ukraine join NATO. They absolutely should not have sponsored Ukrainian nationalist parties or ever had their troops or weapons set foot there. They have been (relatively) silent about what was going on in Donbass and Lugansk. I hosted two refugees from there. Truly horrific stories coming from there for 8 years, and the West just downplays it. It is very clear to me that the current UA government is a puppet of the West that takes advantage of support from western Ukrainians who are quite different from central and eastern Ukrainians.
Thirdly they are now actively encouraging war by sending weapons, by pre training the troops there. My uncle was in Ukrainian Armed Forces, he quit and left back to our family in Russia because they were constantly brainwashed to hate Russia and everything Russian.
Now Ukraine, their leader is either a puppet or incredibly stupid. If he was warned for months that Russia is going to invade and has 190,000 troops at his borders while warning against NATO relationships. He comes out and says Ukraine will work to join NATO and will also develop its own nuclear weapons?? His recent actions feel like they intentionally are chosen to make it as difficult as possible for the next regime that will be installed rather than what would be best for the Ukrainian people. Like it or not he should understand that if the worlds largest nuclear power wants its neighbor disarmed from enemy weapons, it will be.
Finally the Russian government. I really wish they went with another approach. But I don't know what to suggest, don't do anything and let the West have its way? Continue talks that have been going on in circles for 8 years? Bomb the military infrastructure and leave it at that? I would have probably went with this but who knows what the consequences would be compared to now. I can see where they are coming from. The last time we had to defend the narrow UA/Belarus - West border we lost almost 30mil lives. Now if that border becomes much longer and a NATO - Russia border, flat and so close to all key cities - that is an existential threat. And the fact that the West doesn't seem to respect that and can't even give a NATO moratorium on Ukraine to avoid war makes me feel really uneasy.
[+] [-] phaedrix|4 years ago|reply
The tl;dr I think is simply that - Putin does not consider ukraine a soveign nation -- he (and I guess many russians) consider it part of russia; e.g. a wayward child that needs to be brought back into the family.
Anyway, thanks. I don't agree, but I think it's extremely important to understand both sides, otherwise no conversation can ever happen.
[+] [-] ethics13|4 years ago|reply
Your post embodies the propaganda that Russians in Russia swallowed, hook, bait, and even the lasso.
[+] [-] m_ke|4 years ago|reply
[+] [-] unknown|4 years ago|reply
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[+] [-] unknown|4 years ago|reply
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[+] [-] hereforphone|4 years ago|reply
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