Tell HN: Crypto/web3 grifters are Now AI/ML grifters
299 points| alsodumb | 3 years ago
Me and some of my colleagues are fairly active on the MachineLearning subreddit and we've been getting a lot of unsolicited dms to collaborate in a breakthrough ML/AI project. The conversations start something like this: https://imgur.com/a/z6GUTGc Yup, you guessed it, they have the idea and we have to implement it. If you look into their profile history, you’ll see that they’ve been heavy on crypto/NFT/web3 stuff until a few months ago, some even made good money. They don't even have the dataset. One guy proposed my friend that he has a startup idea to use GPT-model to let people talk to their pets and that it should be 'fairly easy' to finetune from an existing model.
I am already fairly tired of seeing all the ChatGPT stuff on my socials, and I am not looking forward to another few years of more low effort/low quality stuff in peak of inflated expectations phase. I love GPT, I have many pipelines where I actively use it, but I also see the potential where people will abuse it, in every form from increased spam, personalized phishing, etc. Imagine scammers calling your grand parents not with an non-native accent anymore - heck maybe with your own voice (which in my head is fairly easy to do - get someone's family tree, call the grandkid using a model fine-tuned on some local accent, perhaps of the opposite gender and engage them in a conversation - use the voice clips to finetune another model and then call their parents/grandparents to get money, heck even the transcript for the scam interaction can be auto-generated). I am a first-generation college student, and getting my parents to use a smartphone has itself been a challenge - there's no way I can teach them to identify sophisticated scams. I bracing myself and not looking forward for all of this to come.
[+] [-] mjr00|3 years ago|reply
The hype has died down a bit and sanity has been mostly restored to the comment sections here, but holy hell, HN readers are in this industry, they should know better, yet so many were, and maybe are, still fully bought in.
The average VC, or other manifestation of "fool with money", has zero chance. The macro economy aside, it's absolutely going to be a feeding frenzy for the entrepreneurs and grifters who can put together a convincing presentation on how they're making an AI Netflix that will show infinitely generated AI TV shows or whatever.
[+] [-] p-e-w|3 years ago|reply
While there is of course a bit of hyperbole in that statement, I do think it has a lot of truth in it as well.
Stable Diffusion isn't going to destroy art since art is fundamentally a human endeavor. But many of the creative professions commonly called "[something] artist", whose day-to-day work consists of drawing pictures to illustrate a point, making things "look good" etc. are absolutely going to be wiped out. Logo designs, cover illustrations for books and music albums, pictures for marketing releases and so on. No one is going to keep paying people to do those when AIs can do it faster, better, and at no cost. I wouldn't be surprised if already in 2023, AI had a noticeable financial impact on those professions.
[+] [-] jameshart|3 years ago|reply
But of course, there will also be a ton of lazy ill-thought-out crap, too.
And the danger is that NFTs and cryptoscams created a bunch of random lottery winners who think they got rich off their genius insight into how to apply innovative tech, but who actually only proved they know how to generate ill-thought-out crap, very quickly, at the start of a hype curve. So unsurprising to see them moving in. But without the obvious get-rich-quick scam opportunities, and the likely massive compute fees doing anything interesting in this space will involve, it's less obvious how long those folks will stick around.
[+] [-] dmix|3 years ago|reply
There's a lot of people getting hysterical about it... just like there's the usual true believer audience (see: new age/conspiracy/etc in the past and now crypto). Every major new change generates these extremes... and no its not unique to HN or crypto bros.
Personally I'm skeptical things are getting worse because we still have the same reputation and social critique systems to keep these groups in check.
But it's always good to keep on top of the current things these groups latch on to... including both doomers AND culty/conspiracy extremes.
[+] [-] tee_0|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] anonzzzies|3 years ago|reply
However, it seems like many here never talk or see ‘other people’ as I have said and keep saying; if you use fiverr or upwork, for the vast crowd of workers (as they are called) are far worse than stable diffusion (compared to the ‘artists’) or chatgpt (compared to programmers, writers, reviewers etc) now. Not only in what they sell, but also their communication about it.
So this is now; soon these people have 0 chance if they don’t pivot.
[+] [-] Dalewyn|3 years ago|reply
But going beyond that I've just felt something has been "off" about the whole AI fad in recent months. I wonder if this is the reason behind that dissonance; the absolute insincerity of the people now doing most of the talking.
[+] [-] ActorNightly|3 years ago|reply
Funny enough, when chatgpt was released on the first day, I managed to get in and posted the interview questions we used to ask at Amazon, both the behavioral and coding, and forwarded responses to my past manager asking if he would hire this person. Manager said, and I quote, "Yes, guy sounds very competent"
[+] [-] fragmede|3 years ago|reply
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[+] [-] braingenious|3 years ago|reply
I figured that “old people getting on Facebook” must have been the final Eternal September, but apparently nope. Now, people that otherwise would never post (on social media, forums, etc) due to not having any knowledge or opinion on a given topic have the option of copying and pasting text back and forth to mindlessly farm engagement.
The era of the Ultimate Reply Guy is upon us, and it sucks. In the same way that rickrolling was a substitute for having a sense of humor, “Here’s what the robot says” is a substitute for insight or personality.
[+] [-] cableshaft|3 years ago|reply
As opposed to the usual high-quality, high-effort content on social media of one of the following: pictures of pets, pictures of kids, pictures of food, pictures of an insightful quote you copied somewhere, videos of you lip synching to something, videos of you dancing the exact same dance that a million other people have done on other videos, pictures of you in front of a landmark or at a beach or pool to show how "wordly and cultured" you are, your quiz results for some bullshit made-up quiz, some five-second hot take commentary on some current event topic (likely just parroting another hot take you read five minutes earlier), how much you loved or hated the newest blockbuster film or tv show, etc etc.
I'd rather see what a good A.I. has to say about various subjects compared to most of those, personally.
[+] [-] mentalpiracy|3 years ago|reply
This is such an odd, hostile way to react to people posting things on the internet that I'm genuinely curious what part of this you have an actual problem with?
Framed another way, what you're describing here is that using ChatGPT is interesting enough to trigger engagement from social media users who are otherwise mostly inactive. If that is indeed the case, imo that is a pretty strong indicator of appeal to a wide audience.
[+] [-] baby|3 years ago|reply
Second, this was already going on for much longer than you think. If you read reddit now, or if you were 5 years ago, most of the posts are reposts from bots, and most of the top comments are reposts from top comments of the exact same posts. People, or bots, I don't know, literally find the previous posts of the exact same thing and copy/paste the top comments from there to have a higher chance at getting karma, and it's working.
[+] [-] capybara_2020|3 years ago|reply
People with interesting ideas walked away because they could not create quality content at that rate. Or they had these "experts" shout them down. ChatGPT just seems to be more of the same.
[+] [-] tripplyons|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] saurik|3 years ago|reply
That said, I feel like that's true of people in general, at least in tech (I can't speak to other fields much), and it is extremely frustrating: history is important!
[+] [-] nl|3 years ago|reply
Let's just say I much prefer the AI/ML community. The culture there was open to new ideas but wanted to see evidence things worked (leaving aside attention seeks like Gary Marcus). Blockchain is all hype and attacking people who ask questions (although the zero-knowledge community is pretty good).
[+] [-] Geee|3 years ago|reply
Crypto grifting was selling the dream to get rich. There was nothing in it to begin with. I think 'grifting' means dishonesty - selling snake oil. I don't think applies to AI, even if it's just a temporary hype cycle. I should mention that Bitcoin is obviously a real thing; "crypto" is the thousands of useless coins which claim to be the next Bitcoin.
[+] [-] jaredcwhite|3 years ago|reply
Are you kidding me? The movement of people like me who are deeply skeptical about the benefits of generative AI and place them in similar categories of "potentially hazardous to society" inventions like drugs, weapons, etc. is alive and well. We're genuinely fearful that there are folks out there who apparently aren't aware of the severe legal and cultural minefields that these sort of unregulated tools present. I haven't the slightest doubt that, now that we're seeing the collapse of "web3" nonsense/blockchain apps/cryptocurrencies/etc., there's a wealth of grifters looking for their next score and "AI" is the obvious successor.
[+] [-] bakugo|3 years ago|reply
A year or two ago, these exact same "people" were "genuinely excited" about blockchain and were finding ways to "build apps" around it despite having no idea what a blockchain even was. There is literally no difference.
[+] [-] Quarrelsome|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] panzi|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] muzani|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] LarsDu88|3 years ago|reply
Every bubble busts, but the end result has left us with rail lines, the United States, radio, television, digital cameras, and fiber optic lines.
The overall direction is upwards. EVs will probably be the long term outcome of the last bubble. AI still has a long way to go.
Crypto will probably go the way of the less useful bubbles (beanie babies and tulips)
[+] [-] baby|3 years ago|reply
People say that and yet it's been like what, 14 years? How long can a tulip market really last?
[+] [-] cardamomo|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] eplm|3 years ago|reply
As far as I can see, they're just typing a prompt into Stable Diffusion or DALL-E and picking a nice image.
It's lazy, talentless, and demeans the actual artists whose work was stolen to train these models.
[+] [-] bestcoder69|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] Art9681|3 years ago|reply
Eventually the expectations changed. No longer was the village impressed with stick figures. A distinction had to be made between the average stick figure carvers and the good ones. They called them "artists".
Eventually someone figured out how to add color. The cycle repeats and expectations changed, the average distinguished from the talented. No longer was drawing a stick figure without color considered art. To be an artist, you had to use color.
Then someone showed up with a brush, then Photoshop, then Stable Diffusion. In the year 2023, expectations changed, yet again. And the average were separated from the talented, and the best prompt writers were considered artists.
In the year 2040...
[+] [-] speedgoose|3 years ago|reply
I find this event similar than the photography. Oil painters did less portraits but you still have oil painters today. And many people did art using photography.
[+] [-] rvz|3 years ago|reply
We already have seen plenty of AI grifters on HN creating clones and copies of AI SaaS and bot offerings with almost no use case on top of ChatGPT with the AI bros selling their snake-oil as "the future" and AI totally replacing everyone's jobs almost just like the extreme crypto maximalists screaming about their utopia of replacing the banking system with crypto coins.
It is another grift for the AI bros, with OpenAI and Microsoft being the winners and can easily gate-keep and price out the majority of these grifter jumping on the bandwagon late, unless Stable Diffusion drives everything down to zero by releasing a better model for free.
But the truth is both crypto and AI are here to stay no matter the grifters and the opportunists. The inevitability on both of these technologies is that the laws will catch up with them eventually.
[+] [-] spamizbad|3 years ago|reply
It's a hustle as old as time.
[+] [-] smoldesu|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] ge96|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] bb88|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] jfoster|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] jayant_kaushik|3 years ago|reply
I’ll give just one very small example: I have this huge photo library on my phone and sometimes I need to find a particular photo or receipt from a specific business that I clicked 3-4 years ago. Doing that manually means spending at least 10 mins to 30 mins if I don’t remember the exact month or year I clicked it in. And I used to mostly defer finding the photo as much as I could. Or do it when I was totally bored and nothing to do.
Cue AI: I type the business name or photo description in the search bar and it displays the photo right there. 3 seconds.
Another could be about the Camera app using CV to read live text or numbers. I guess CV and LLMs are specifically going to explode this year as they already have a strong base and proven use case.
[+] [-] jaredcwhite|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] threeseed|3 years ago|reply
And that it's far more difficult to bootstrap an AI model based business given the infrastructure costs versus a boring old SaaS one.
[+] [-] Animats|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] alphabetting|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] mrtksn|3 years ago|reply
Obviously, don't do the unethical stuff but if they were somewhat lucky in the crypto boom it would be nice to have that money redirected to ML.
I don't know if its possible to make people talk to their friends using GPT models but sounds like something that people can actually pay for.
If they don't have the dataset, building one or acquiring one can be added to the todo list.
[+] [-] smarri|3 years ago|reply
- haha this is hilarious!!
A younger me once thought, like the person who pitched that to your friend, that all I needed was an idea (..and if only I could find someone to build it...I'd be a huge success!!) and as I matured and got experience in the world, I realised that ideas are cheap and execution is hard. We need more doers! I'm a reformed ideas guy.
[+] [-] cableshaft|3 years ago|reply
Then ChatGPT happened and they got even more excited about that, as it seemed even more plausible and doable. I wouldn't classify those people as grifters, they genuinely believe they're bringing about a new future and the web3 bubble bursting is temporary (I'm more skeptical myself, but not so much I'm not willing to help out here and there).
Not to say there weren't a ton of grifters in the space, there definitely were (and a lot of them). As well as people who thought they weren't being grifters, but then the bottom fell out of web3 and they're like, 'oh shit, guess I was wrong about all this', and they ended up becoming one without intending to.
There are people that can be in both crypto and A.I. grifting at the same time, too. Like they see A.I. art as a quick and easy way to generate art for NFTs. So they're not mutually exclusive fields.
And some people just perpetually bounce from one get rich quick scheme to another. It's happened since way before crypto, and it'll keep happening. If you stay at the forefront of it, and cash out as the frenzy starts to hit, it's probably fairly effective, too, but if you're perpetually late to these things, as most people are, it's just going to keep being a money pit for you.
[+] [-] __MatrixMan__|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] bawolff|3 years ago|reply
[+] [-] svnt|3 years ago|reply