TadaScientist's comments

TadaScientist | 6 years ago | on: The Cost of Preemptive Deals

This finding talks volume about two facts:

1) Competition, even among smart money investors, works 2) The implicit value of, as user sethbannon stated, "getting a known and trusted person on the board"

TadaScientist | 6 years ago | on: Atlantropa

Ouch!

Unsurprisingly I agree with your first sentence. But, I do disagree on your second: I, and others, can see the costs, and I am not referring solely to the financial costs:

It absolutely means risk of war in the Balkans, Greece/Turkey, N Africa.

Elimination of most of the tourist income on the Med coasts

Endangerment of the biodiversity and ecological balance of the sea

Cause for droughts/flooding seen with other dams https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aswan_Dam

Massive population dislocation in the region of tens of millions

I can go on but the point is what would the benefit need to be to consider this project as net positive?

TadaScientist | 6 years ago | on: Atlantropa

I was very excited about this project when I was a teenager - another was a "simple" dam just at Marmara/Black sea / Istanbul.

However, as any adult can see the financial impact vastly supersedes the potential benefits.

Besides the obvious impact to the local seaside communities in Southern Europe, you would have to deal with unstable regimes in northern Africa and Turkey and the geopolitical side of things. Wars have been fought for much less important things than land and resources.

Moreover the ecological effects would be impossible to calculate. There are other seemingly less important issues such as immigration.

So, in all, ok - the central planning from a German scientist does get some creativity points, but we are not in Mars, trying to terraform it; we are in a heavily populated part of Earth which has civilisations at its shores for the last 4000 years.

TadaScientist | 6 years ago | on: Ask HN: What happened to trigger my Spotify password reset?

I had a similar issue not long ago. I went in and really changed it into a massive 50 character pw.

My spotify account was hijacked in 2017 and managed to get it back - someone from Tunisia - he had the audacity to start creating playlists full of autotune rappers. I wouldn't mind sharing but man his taste in music was awful.

TadaScientist | 6 years ago | on: My Product Is Unexpectedly Being Used to Help People with Dementia

It's a great idea and I wish I'd known last Christmas when I had to print and post 5-6 photos to 5 recipients with a total cost of ~£100. My hustle also costs something but it's not priced in.

Only one question if I may. How can I know for sure you delete the photos? Is the business GDPR compliant? If I am based in the EU, do my photos need to go to server in the US? I'd prefer if they didn't have my young daughter's pics...

TadaScientist | 6 years ago | on: ‘Star Citizen,’ a video game that raised $300M but may never be ready to play

It was September 2012 when a friend of mine and I pledged some money. I was backer number ~ 2000. My friend jokingly said "We will have children by the time it comes out". Guess what.

They could have avoided the expensive actors, changing engine half-way, and they still should come out and say - we promised 1000 things. We can do 50 to get the ball rolling and we will do the following 950 in due time.

I really do hope that they put together at least the single player. We've spent money on the same sport simulators since '97. What's $50-$60?

I am rooting for them.

TadaScientist | 7 years ago | on: Ask HN: Data scientists, how are you being evaluated within your company?

I think this is a problem that most data science teams are facing due to the hype and pressure for ROIs to be generated.

DS teams might work on operational improvements or external customer problems. The same DS team is unlikely to be tasked to do both.

Fairly and factually measuring the impact a team has is not a new problem. Banks have used transfer pricing models to allocate revenue to non-front office teams. This requires a lot of buy-in from higher-ups and it is very sensitive. Management is unlikely to be familiar and comfortable with the notion that a model would calculate the implicit benefit each team is bringing to the table.

Ideas I've seen attempted with various outcomes are:

* If your dashboard leads to hours saved by your internal users, focus on that because this will mean that your DS team's time investment translated into X workhours saved per week or month. Multiply by average salary and you get a cost-saving estimate.

* If your model predicts or calculates something, then it's even easier. It's the same if you are forecasting. It's difficult to measure ROIs on a non-financial investments but it's feasible.

* If your solution does not address an existing modelling need or problem or operational bottleneck and simply modernizes or brings something to the table that was not around before, things are a bit trickier. You need to think about opportunity cost (what could the DS team have been doing instead of this solution) but also what the company's strategic direction is. You also need to address operational risk. If your tool helps minimize the risk, then that's worth something. It's measurable by comparing the data pre and post launch of the tool (maybe a 6 month window of running both is sufficient to compare and contrast).

If you are looking for early stage successes to build the DS team's goodwill - just focus on the first two bullet points. If you already have buy-in, then time is on your side as long as you are productive.

I would also advocate that for conservative companies it's best to ensure that you go to your internal clients and explicitly ask them to nominate projects or problems or issues they need help with. If you can help them with your solutions or data pipelines they will preach for the DS team doing your work for you. Of course, there are a lot of companies where cliques make decisions not just on merit. These companies are going to lose their best people and wither away in time.

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