odkamkfn's comments

odkamkfn | 5 years ago | on: Twitter tags Trump tweet with fact-checking warning

he doesn't mention the first amendment - free speech is about more than american laws.

Saying that what twitter is doing is "stifling free speech" is a matter of opinion, and while you can certainly argue against the statement there's no need for the amendments to the us constitution to come into it.

odkamkfn | 5 years ago | on: Twitter tags Trump tweet with fact-checking warning

I'm not against people becoming more educated - I have 100% faith in twitter's superiority. I know that the talented and, frankly, superior human beings over at twitter are the best people in the world to educate the ignorant public.

odkamkfn | 5 years ago | on: CDC’s New ‘Best Estimate’ Implies a Covid-19 Infection Fatality Rate Below 0.3%

Are infections spread out across a representative sample of the population?

Is the population of New York (in terms of genetic makeup, behavior, underlying conditions etc) match that of the rest of the world?

I realize that this site is filled with autists who believe they can solve everything with a clean, simple model (the less lines of code the better, right?), but reality is a fucking mess. All models are not even wrong.

odkamkfn | 6 years ago | on: Problems with Japan's Covid-19 reports

"Test refusal" is a very bad metric. Almost no countries are testing anyone who suspects they might be infected. A lot of European countries actually have more restrictive guidelines than Japan - Norway won't even test people arriving from COVID-19 hotspots if they only exhibit minor symptoms.

In Japan 6-7% of the tests come back positive. This is not at all indicative of too little testing.

odkamkfn | 6 years ago | on: Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐evidence‐based measures

The testing rate is low almost everywhere. The mass testing done in the Italian town Vò suggests that 50-75% of infections are asymptomatic (but still contagious). This matches the findings from the cruise ship "Diamond Princess".

Also note that the populations of both the cruise ship and Vò skew quite a bit older than the world average, and younger people are more likely to be asymptomatic (AFAIK we still don't know how more likely)

odkamkfn | 6 years ago | on: Imperial College report on Covid-19 that led to the extreme measures in US

Most infections never turn into "cases", which is why the IFR (Infection Fatality Rate) is a lot lower than the CFR (Case Fatality Rate). How much lower is very, very hard to say.

Also note that there's no strict definition for how to calculate the CFR, so you'll see conflicting numbers even for the same area/country.

odkamkfn | 6 years ago | on: CDC says U.S. gatherings of over 50 people should be put off

Death rate != CFR.

CFR is the fatality rate for diagnosed people and it's gonna swing wildly depending on how many people are tested and diagnosed. And considering how this virus affects young and healthy people, there's good reason to believe that a lot of people get infected and never seek out medical assistance and never get diagnosed.

Even the best numbers we have are often skewed and misleading - as an example, we have a lot of good data from the cruise ship quarantined in Japan, but cruise passengers do not match the demographics of the general population.

odkamkfn | 6 years ago | on: Lilith: x86-64 OS written in Crystal

the "overt objectification" (i'm cringing at the prudishness) makes the project better.

hobby projects shouldn't be bound by the moral (really aesthetic) sense of corporate america.

odkamkfn | 6 years ago | on: Help me ask why you didn't just

"You should have used ssh." In a friendly tone, of course.

If the people you work with are triggered by this and don't push back in an equally friendly tone - you have bigger problems than linguistic ones.

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