snickms | 5 years ago | on: A Polar Vortex collapse sequence has begun
snickms's comments
snickms | 5 years ago | on: A Polar Vortex collapse sequence has begun
When someone talks about anything changing over a period of time, they are talking about slope.
There really isn't another interpretation.
snickms | 5 years ago | on: A Polar Vortex collapse sequence has begun
The data points at the top are at 16.6 year intervals.
Recent data is represented by a line.
The punch line is not the absolute temperature (as this wanders around a fair bit), but the gradient at the end.
Because the recent data is over a period of 166 years, you can turn the line into 10 dots which represent each 16.6 year 'line' average.
I think you should try this yourself. You will find that the averaging only smooths out brief transients between your new dots. In the case of the comic, it has no effect on the gradient at 2016.
Having more data doesn't change the average slope - it simply allows you to measure average slope over shorter distances.
So unless you think the joke was "haha we've been at this temperature before", I suggest it is you who is being ... what you said.
snickms | 5 years ago | on: A Polar Vortex collapse sequence has begun
I believe the parent is talking about rate of change rather than absolute temperature.
Discounting collisions with large meteors, the statement that the average temperature over time has never risen so fast is true.
snickms | 5 years ago | on: A Polar Vortex collapse sequence has begun
The BBC is not a government-run service. It is a publicly-owned corporation.
snickms | 5 years ago | on: A Polar Vortex collapse sequence has begun
I think it highly unlikely that weather.gov is faking it's forecasts in either direction.
snickms | 5 years ago | on: CTO day 2: downsizing the team
If he has not communicated his vision clearly enough for the company to survive without him, then he has failed.
That world.
[Edited] - as I thought you were asking a slightly different question. My bad.
snickms | 5 years ago | on: Car manufacturing hit by global semiconductor shortage
The article was paywalled for me, but if you made your cars in lisp, you'd run out of braces way before you ran out of semiconductors.
snickms | 5 years ago | on: The account of realDonaldTrump will be locked for 12 hours
Personally, I wish Twitter was one audio-only party line.
Two minutes of listening to a million people yelling their thoughts in real rime would reveal exactly what is happening there - and what a complete waste of time it is.
snickms | 5 years ago | on: Electric cars make up 54% of cars sold in Norway in 2020
Surely the fuel cost savings would wipe out the price difference within a couple of years?
Not sure what the average price of petrol is where you are though.
[Edit[ https://myelectriccar.com.au/calculator/ confirms this at least for a Nissan Leaf running in Australia.
snickms | 5 years ago | on: Images of the the samples returned to earth from the asteroid Ryugu
Let me guess - you're a Coldy, right?
Yes it is easier for us, but some of the stuff you do is insane despite your 'disadvantages' IMHO.
Who thought it was a good idea to have a character set that changes every orbit?
Yes it is nice to know when a document was created, but "Hey, we could use a timestamp" really should have entered the neuromesh at some point.
snickms | 5 years ago | on: Images of the the samples returned to earth from the asteroid Ryugu
In case you missed it - the Coldworm species launched their own probe and it crashed on the surface back in April. This is clearly debris from that crash, so no conspiracy here.
Having said that, I do think those guys on Europa are really getting their sh*t together these days. If it wasn't for a spurious emission from some random Starlink earthsat, they probably would have made it.
..well that and their silly 137-base maths,
snickms | 5 years ago | on: San Mateo County Health Officer Statement on Bay Area Stay-at-Home Orders
As some people are claiming doubt as to the effectiveness of lockdowns, let me point you to the Australian stats:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-17/coronavirus-cases-dat...
It worked particularly well in Victoria, where a second lockdown turned a ~700 case per day nightmare into 38 straight days of no deaths or locally acquired cases.
New Zealand also used a lockdown strategy. stats: https://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/diseases-and-conditions/...
Suicide rates in the most affected Australian states were surprising: https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/nov/09/suici...
The lockdowns were terrible for many people - for all the reasons you can imagine. On the other hand, I doubt anyone here would now argue that those crazy times were a mistake.
snickms | 6 years ago | on: Show HN: Testing HN titles against a neural network
737 Max Flaw Liberal SUV Gun IOT
Bad: 0.0000 - Good: 1.0000
737 Max gun has flaw in SUV liberal IOT Bad: 1.0000 - Good: 0.0000
[edit] a challenge .. the (non) prize is for reversing the outcome with the smallest diff. i believe i am the current leader :)
page 2
You've just shown us all that the gradient started to shift upwards less than 300 years ago.
Seriously, look at some basic calculus. Try to understand what you are doing.
I look forward to your further efforts in debunking climate data misinformation.